GICRE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Weakness: Price is below both 50 DMA (₹378) and 200 DMA (₹389), indicating bearish momentum.

MACD Negative: At −3.78, MACD confirms short-term weakness.

RSI Oversold Zone: 39.5 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory—potential for bounce if supported by volume.

Volume Flat: Current volume (6.56L) is slightly below 1-week average (6.83L), showing neutral participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Attractive: P/E of 8.62 vs industry average of 39.8 and PEG of 0.17—deep value with growth potential.

Strong Returns: ROCE 16.0%, ROE 12.2%—solid capital efficiency.

Zero Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.00 adds financial safety.

Dividend Yield: 2.74% provides cushion for holding periods.

Profit Decline: PAT dropped from ₹2,183 Cr to ₹1,752 Cr (−19.8%), but Qtr Profit Var is +69.1%—likely base effect.

Institutional Sentiment: FII slightly increased (+0.19%), DII reduced (−0.39%)—mixed stance.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹355–₹360: Near recent support and oversold RSI zone. Entry only if MACD flattens and RSI crosses 42.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹395–₹405: First resistance zone near 200 DMA. Consider partial exit if RSI crosses 60 or MACD turns positive.

₹510–₹526: Final exit near 52-week high if momentum resumes.

Trailing Stop: ₹348 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GICRE offers a value-driven swing setup with strong fundamentals and high dividend yield, but technicals are currently weak. Best suited for cautious entries near support with confirmation. For cleaner momentum setups, consider stocks with MACD > 5, PEG < 1.5, and ROCE > 15%.

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