GICRE - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

GICRE displays strong fundamentals and healthy profitability metrics, but it's currently in a technical downtrend with weak momentum signals. It offers potential for a reversal swing trade once confirmation emerges.

🧾 Fundamental Overview

Valuation Attractiveness

P/E: 8.77 vs Industry P/E: 37.2 → Undervalued relative to peers

EPS: ₹42.4, Book Value: ₹351, PEG Ratio: 0.19 → Strong earnings, growth at a discount

Profitability

ROCE: 15.6%, ROE: 12.7% → Solid capital efficiency

PAT Growth: ₹2,499 Cr. vs ₹1,677 Cr. → Momentum in quarterly profit

Dividend Yield: 2.69% → Healthy return to shareholders

Debt Profile: Debt-to-Equity: 0.00 → Debt-free, financially sound

📉 Technical Picture

Price Action

Current Price: ₹371 is below both

50-DMA: ₹388

200-DMA: ₹394 → Bearish bias

Momentum Indicators

RSI: 39.0 → Oversold zone, possible reversal ahead

MACD: -3.71 → Downtrend momentum

Volume

Stable volume around average → no panic selling

52W Index: 14.6% → Deeply discounted from 52-week high of ₹526

🎯 Swing Trade Strategy

This stock is better suited for a mean-reversion swing trade, betting on a bounce rather than trend continuation.

✅ Optimal Entry Zone

Buy Range: ₹362–₹368 Enter cautiously near recent support & oversold RSI.

🛑 Exit Strategy

Target Range: ₹395–₹405 Just above DMA levels; take profit before resistance zone.

Stop-Loss: ₹345 Below 52-week low to control downside.

Already holding? → Monitor closely as RSI and MACD may turn soon. A move toward ₹395 should be considered for partial or full exit, unless there's volume-backed breakout. → If it slides below ₹360 without reversal signals, tighten stop or hedge the exposure.

If you'd like, I can shortlist other undervalued financial stocks that are already showing bullish confirmation. Want to dive into those next?

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