GICRE - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Analysis: GICRE shows moderate intraday potential. Current price (₹366) is below both the 50 DMA (₹381) and 200 DMA (₹385), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 33.4 indicates oversold territory, which could trigger a technical bounce, while MACD (-3.30) suggests mild bearishness. Volume (5.02 lakh) is above the weekly average (3.44 lakh), showing strong intraday participation. Fundamentally, the stock is undervalued with a low P/E (7.69) compared to industry average (42.8).

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹362–₹366 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹374 (first resistance), ₹382 (second resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹355 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹366 or if MACD continues bearish. Consider booking profits near ₹374–₹382 if momentum improves during the session.

Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (16.0%) and ROE (12.2%) highlight efficient capital use.
• 💰 Dividend yield (2.76%) provides attractive shareholder returns.
• 📊 Quarterly PAT growth from ₹1,752 Cr. to ₹2,867 Cr. (54.1% variation).
• 📉 Low P/E (7.69) compared to industry average (42.8), suggesting undervaluation.
• 💵 Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.

Limitation

• ⚠️ MACD negative (-3.30) indicates bearish short-term momentum.
• 📉 RSI (33.4) shows oversold conditions, risk of further downside before recovery.
• 📊 52-week index (11.9%) reflects weak relative performance.
• 🌍 DII holding decreased (-0.19%), showing domestic investor caution.

Company Negative News

• 📰 No major negative news reported, but weak technicals and low relative performance weigh on sentiment.

Company Positive News

• 📰 Strong quarterly profit growth supports positive sentiment despite technical weakness.

Industry

• 🏭 Insurance sector trading at PE 42.8, much higher than GICRE’s valuation (7.69).
• 📈 Industry demand supported by rising insurance penetration and regulatory support.

Conclusion

⚖️ GICRE is fundamentally undervalued with strong profitability and dividend yield, but intraday signals are weak due to bearish MACD and oversold RSI. Cautious entry near ₹362–₹366 with profit exits at ₹374–₹382 is possible, while maintaining a strict stop-loss at ₹355.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing GICRE with other insurance sector stocks, or should we focus on basket rotation signals for intraday workflow optimization?