FSL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Confirmation: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹361) and 200 DMA (₹347), indicating bullish structure.

MACD Positive: At 2.79, MACD supports continued momentum, though not aggressive.

RSI Near Breakout: 59.2 suggests strength with room to run before overbought territory.

Volume Surge: Current volume (10.8L) exceeds 1-week average (8.2L), confirming active participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Stretch: P/E of 62.7 vs industry average of 37.9 and PEG of −161 signals overvaluation and questionable growth trajectory.

Strong Profit Growth: PAT jumped from ₹92.4 Cr to ₹135 Cr (+42.6%)—a solid earnings boost.

Healthy Returns: ROCE 16.9%, ROE 15.3%—efficient capital deployment.

Moderate Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.32 is manageable.

Institutional Sentiment: FII reduced (−0.49%) while DII increased (+1.05%)—mixed but slightly bullish.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹360–₹365: Near 50 DMA with margin of safety. Look for MACD continuation and RSI > 60 before entry.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹410–₹423: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹362 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

FSL (Firstsource Solutions) presents a moderately strong swing setup—technicals are supportive and profit growth is robust, though valuation is stretched. Best suited for short-duration trades with tight risk control. Entry near 50 DMA offers a safer base, while exit near highs is prudent unless momentum accelerates.

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