FSL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

FSL has decent fundamentals but is currently under significant technical pressure. With RSI near oversold and MACD deeply negative, it shows potential for a short-term bounce if support holds — but only for a cautious swing strategy.

📊 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E: 39.9 vs Industry PE: 32.0 → Slightly overvalued

PEG: 12.8 → Suggests low growth relative to price

Profitability & Strength

ROE: 15.0%, ROCE: 15.4% → Reasonable returns

Debt-to-Equity: 0.63 → Moderate gearing, manageable

EPS: ₹8.41, Book Value: ₹58.0 → Price trades well above intrinsic value

Dividend Yield: 1.21% → Mild income generation

Qtr PAT Growth: 5.2%, Profit Var: 20.4% → Improving trend

📉 Technical Breakdown

Current Price: ₹330

Below DMA 50: ₹360 and DMA 200: ₹341 → Bearish pattern

MACD: -9.45, RSI: 27.9 → Oversold zone, bounce potential

Volume: Above avg → Could signal reversal interest

52W Index: 41.3% → Undervalued vs peak (₹423), recovery possible

Price Support Zone: ₹325–₹330

Matches near-term floor, watch for stabilization

🎯 Swing Trade Strategy

Thesis: Oversold with reversal signs, possible short-term recovery

Caution: Wait for MACD flattening and RSI rebound before entry

✅ Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹325–₹332 Target a reactive bounce from oversold levels.

🚪 Exit Plan

Profit Booking Zone: ₹355–₹365 Approaching DMA 50 — strong resistance ahead.

Stop-Loss: ₹315 Break below key support could trigger downside.

If you're already holding: → Hold until ₹355–₹365 zone and monitor RSI recovery above 45. → Exit if MACD continues diving and price breaks ₹315.

Need help tracking when MACD and RSI confirm the bounce? I can set up a watchlist guide for timing the trigger moves.

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