CHOLAHLDNG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📈 Current Price: ₹2,025

📊 RSI: 61.8 (Bullish but nearing overbought)

📈 MACD: 26.2 (Positive momentum)

📈 DMA 50 / 200: ₹1,901 / ₹1,819 (Price above both averages)

📉 Volume: 1,55,956 vs 1Wk Avg 2,34,221 (Below average)

💰 Market Cap: ₹38,043 Cr

📉 Qtr Profit Decline: from ₹37.6 Cr to ₹2.11 Cr

📉 FII Holding: -0.93%

📈 DII Holding: +1.09%

📌 Optimal Entry Price

🎯 Entry Range: ₹1,900–₹1,930 (Near 50 DMA and pullback zone)

📤 Exit Strategy

💡 Exit if: Price approaches ₹2,200–₹2,250 or RSI crosses 70 with declining volume.

✅ Positive

• Price trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• MACD and RSI indicate bullish momentum
• DII holding increased (+1.09%)
• Zero debt (Debt/Equity: 0.00) supports financial stability

⚠️ Limitation

• Extremely high P/E (584) vs industry P/E (29.2)
• PEG ratio of 115 suggests severe overvaluation
• Low ROCE (6.26%) and ROE (4.88%)
• EPS of ₹3.47 is weak relative to price
• Volume below weekly average

📰 Company Negative News

• Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from ₹37.6 Cr to ₹2.11 Cr
• FII holding declined by 0.93%

📈 Company Positive News

• DII holding increased, showing domestic institutional confidence
• Price action remains strong above key moving averages

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E: 29.2 (far lower than stock P/E)
• Holding companies often trade at premium due to asset backing, but earnings volatility is common

🔚 Conclusion

CHOLAHLDNG shows technical strength but is fundamentally overvalued with weak earnings and low return ratios. Entry near ₹1,900–₹1,930 is viable for short-term momentum, but caution is advised. Exit near ₹2,200–₹2,250 or if RSI exceeds 70. A stop-loss below ₹1,880 is recommended to manage risk.

I can also track RSI and MACD trends for CHOLAHLDNG to alert you when a better entry window opens.