CHOLAHLDNG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Positive Indicators

MACD (14.7): Bullish momentum intact.

RSI (61.7): Neutral-bullish zone, tradable but nearing overbought.

Price Action: Trading above both 50 DMA (₹1,878) and 200 DMA (₹1,787), confirming short-term strength.

FII Inflow (+0.64%): Mild institutional support.

Debt-Free: Clean balance sheet adds margin of safety.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Volume Drop: Current volume is ~49% below 1-week average—momentum not broadly supported.

P/E (564) vs Industry PE (32.0): Extremely overvalued.

PEG (111): Suggests unsustainable growth expectations.

ROCE (6.26%) & ROE (4.88%): Weak capital efficiency.

PAT Qtr (₹2.11 Cr) vs Prev Qtr (₹37.6 Cr): Sharp earnings decline.

DII Outflow (-0.37%): Domestic caution.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,880–₹1,900 (near 50 DMA and breakout base)

Momentum Entry: ₹1,965–₹1,975 if RSI crosses 64 and volume improves

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹2,050–₹2,080 (next resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹1,840 (below 50 DMA and recent support)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD flattens

Selva, CHOLAHLDNG is technically strong but fundamentally stretched. If you're considering a tactical swing, tight risk control and alert logic for MACD and RSI thresholds are essential. Want help building a financials basket with better ROE/ROCE metrics?

Edit in a page