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CHAMBLFERT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code CHAMBLFERT Market Cap 17,611 Cr. Current Price 439 ₹ High / Low 742 ₹
Stock P/E 9.25 Book Value 241 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.28 % ROCE 27.6 %
ROE 20.3 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 443 ₹ DMA 200 482 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -2.68 % Chg in DII Hold 0.65 % PAT Qtr 565 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 602 Cr.
RSI 50.6 MACD -5.89 Volume 11,22,185 Avg Vol 1Wk 10,33,429
Low price 400 ₹ High price 742 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.23 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 11.6 % Qtr Profit Var 11.9 % EPS 47.5 ₹ Industry PE 17.9

📈 Chart & Trend: CHAMBLFERT is trading at ₹439, slightly below its 50 DMA (₹443) and well below its 200 DMA (₹482). This indicates short-term weakness and medium-term pressure, with the stock consolidating near support levels.

📊 Momentum Indicators:

- RSI at 50.6 suggests neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.

- MACD at -5.89 shows bearish crossover, confirming short-term weakness.

- Bollinger Bands: Price near mid-band, no breakout signal.

- Volume: Current volume (11.2 lakh) is slightly above 1-week average (10.3 lakh), showing healthy participation.

🔑 Support & Resistance:

- Support zone: ₹430–₹435

- Resistance zone: ₹443–₹450 (near 50 DMA)

- Breakout resistance: ₹470–₹482 (near 200 DMA)

- Long-term support: ₹400

📌 Entry & Exit Zones:

- Entry: ₹430–₹439 (near support)

- Exit: ₹443–₹470 (resistance zone)

- Stop-loss: ₹420

📉 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias. Needs a breakout above ₹443–₹450 to confirm reversal and trend continuation.


Positive

  • ROCE at 27.6% and ROE at 20.3% reflect strong operational and shareholder returns.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 indicates a debt-free balance sheet.
  • EPS of ₹47.5 supports earnings visibility.
  • DII holdings increased by 0.65%, showing domestic investor confidence.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weakness.
  • Quarterly PAT declined (₹565 Cr vs ₹602 Cr), showing earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings decreased by 2.68%, showing reduced foreign confidence.
  • PEG ratio of 1.23 suggests moderate valuation relative to growth.

Company Negative News

  • No major recent negative news reported, but earnings decline and reduced FII holdings are concerns.

Company Positive News

  • Debt-free status strengthens financial stability.
  • Strong ROCE and ROE highlight efficient capital use.
  • DII inflows indicate growing domestic confidence.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.9 vs stock PE at 9.25 shows CHAMBLFERT trades at a discount.
  • Fertilizer sector supported by government subsidies and agricultural demand, though cyclical risks remain.

Conclusion

⚡ CHAMBLFERT is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below key moving averages. Entry near ₹430–₹439 offers margin of safety, with exit targets around ₹443–₹470. Strong fundamentals, debt-free status, and domestic inflows support long-term prospects, but recent earnings decline and reduced foreign investor confidence pose short-term risks.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing CHAMBLFERT with other fertilizer companies (like Coromandel International, RCF, and GNFC) to highlight relative strength, valuation gaps, and sector rotation opportunities?

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