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CHAMBLFERT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:56 am

Technical Rating: 4.0

Stock Code CHAMBLFERT Market Cap 17,551 Cr. Current Price 438 ₹ High / Low 742 ₹
Stock P/E 9.22 Book Value 241 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.28 % ROCE 27.6 %
ROE 20.3 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 445 ₹ DMA 200 473 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.56 % Chg in DII Hold 0.74 % PAT Qtr 565 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 602 Cr.
RSI 44.9 MACD 1.32 Volume 9,58,892 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,34,311
Low price 400 ₹ High price 742 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.22 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 11.2 % Qtr Profit Var 11.9 % EPS 47.5 ₹ Industry PE 18.5

📊 CHAMBLFERT is trading at ₹438, below both its 50 DMA (₹445) and 200 DMA (₹473), reflecting short-term and medium-term weakness. RSI at 44.9 indicates neutral-to-bearish momentum, while MACD at 1.32 shows a mild positive crossover. Bollinger Bands suggest price near the lower band, signaling potential support. Volume (9,58,892) is above the weekly average (6,34,311), showing strong participation despite weakness. Overall, the stock is consolidating with a cautious bullish bias.

💡 Optimal Entry Zone: ₹430–440 (near support levels).

📈 Exit Zone: ₹470–480 (resistance) with extended breakout potential toward ₹742 (52-week high).

🔎 Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bullish undertone; reversal possible if price sustains above 450–460 with stronger momentum.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (27.6%) and ROE (20.3%) highlight efficiency and profitability.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00).
  • Dividend yield of 2.28% provides income support.
  • EPS of ₹47.5 with consistent profitability.
  • PEG ratio of 1.22 suggests fairly priced growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA signals weakness.
  • Quarterly PAT declined from ₹602 Cr. to ₹565 Cr.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.56%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT decline highlights short-term earnings weakness.
  • Reduced foreign institutional confidence with FII holdings down by 0.56%.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.74%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong fundamentals with debt-free status and high efficiency ratios.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE is 18.5, higher than CHAMBLFERT’s PE of 9.22, suggesting undervaluation.
  • Fertilizer sector benefits from agricultural demand and government support for food security.

🔎 Conclusion

CHAMBLFERT is a strong swing trade candidate with undervaluation, debt-free fundamentals, and solid efficiency metrics. Entry near ₹430–440 offers a favorable setup, while exit near ₹470–480 is prudent unless momentum drives a breakout toward ₹742. Long-term investors should monitor earnings growth and foreign investor sentiment closely.

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