CERA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

📉 Technical & Momentum Overview

⚠️ Weak Momentum Signals

MACD (-34.0): Strong bearish divergence, momentum fading.

RSI (46.5): Neutral-bearish zone, no strength confirmation.

Price Action: Trading below both 50 DMA (₹6,433) and 200 DMA (₹6,622), indicating short-term and medium-term weakness.

Volume Drop: Current volume (8.6K) is ~24% below 1-week average—low trader interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Positives

ROCE (22.4%) & ROE (18.3%): Solid capital efficiency.

EPS (₹189): Strong earnings base.

Low Debt (0.05): Clean balance sheet.

DII Inflow (+5.13%): Strong domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Concerns

FII Outflow (-3.40%): Significant foreign investor exit.

Qtr Profit Decline (-0.94%): Earnings contraction.

P/E (33.4) vs Industry P/E (33.4): Fairly valued, not cheap.

PEG (1.94): Slightly expensive on growth-adjusted basis.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Wait for Reversal Confirmation: Entry only above ₹6,450 with MACD flattening and RSI > 50

Aggressive Entry: ₹6,300–₹6,340 if volume spikes and MACD shows signs of bottoming

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹6,600–₹6,650 (near 200 DMA and resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹6,180 (below recent support and VWAP)

Exit Trigger: RSI dips below 44 or MACD continues to diverge negatively

Selva, this setup leans defensive and requires confirmation before entry. If you're building a basket, CERA could serve as a low-beta anchor with strong fundamentals but weak momentum. Want help scripting alerts for MACD reversal or volume breakout?

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