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CERA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:19 pm

Technical Rating: 4.0

Stock Code CERA Market Cap 7,414 Cr. Current Price 5,755 ₹ High / Low 7,275 ₹
Stock P/E 35.3 Book Value 1,142 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.30 % ROCE 19.3 %
ROE 14.9 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 5,396 ₹ DMA 200 5,553 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.41 % Chg in DII Hold 0.17 % PAT Qtr 69.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 35.0 Cr.
RSI 60.2 MACD 142 Volume 5,274 Avg Vol 1Wk 7,642
Low price 4,461 ₹ High price 7,275 ₹ PEG Ratio -90.5 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 46.0 % Qtr Profit Var -20.0 % EPS 158 ₹ Industry PE 731

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: CERA is consolidating after a decline from its 7,275 ₹ high. Current price (5,755 ₹) is trading above both 50 DMA (5,396 ₹) and 200 DMA (5,553 ₹), showing short-term strength. Support lies near 5,500–5,600 ₹, with resistance at 6,000–6,200 ₹. Trendlines suggest sideways consolidation with bullish undertone.

📈 Moving Averages: Price is above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bullish alignment.

📉 RSI: At 60.2, RSI is moderately bullish, approaching overbought territory.

📈 MACD: Strongly positive (142), confirming bullish momentum.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, suggesting strong buying pressure but potential short-term pullback.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (5,274) is below the 1-week average (7,642), showing weaker participation despite bullish price action.

💡 Momentum Signals: Bullish bias with consolidation. A breakout above 6,000 ₹ could trigger upside toward 6,500–7,000 ₹, while breakdown below 5,500 ₹ risks correction.

🎯 Entry Zone: 5,500–5,600 ₹ (support region).

🎯 Exit Zone: 6,000–6,200 ₹ (resistance region; extended target 7,000 ₹).

📌 Status: Consolidating with bullish bias.

Positive

✔ EPS of 158 ₹ supports valuation strength.

✔ Strong ROCE (19.3%) and ROE (14.9%).

✔ Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, effectively debt-free.

✔ PAT growth (69.4 Cr. vs 35.0 Cr.) shows earnings momentum.

Limitation

⚠ High P/E (35.3) compared to industry PE (731), suggesting valuation premium.

⚠ RSI near overbought zone (60.2).

⚠ Volume below average, limiting breakout strength.

⚠ PEG ratio (-90.5) indicates poor growth prospects relative to valuation.

Company Negative News

⚠ FII holdings decreased (-0.41%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

⚠ Quarterly profit variation (-20.0%) highlights earnings weakness.

Company Positive News

✔ DII holdings increased (+0.17%), signaling domestic institutional support.

✔ PAT doubled compared to previous quarter, showing strong profitability momentum.

✔ Dividend yield of 1.30% adds investor appeal.

Industry

🏭 Building materials and sanitaryware sector benefits from housing demand and infrastructure growth.

📈 Industry PE (731) is significantly higher, suggesting sector-wide valuation premium.

Conclusion

📌 CERA is consolidating above key moving averages with bullish momentum. Entry near 5,500–5,600 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, while exits near 6,000–6,200 ₹ are prudent unless momentum drives a breakout toward 7,000 ₹. Long-term investors may hold, while traders should monitor RSI and volume for breakout confirmation.

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