CENTRALBK - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Bullish Signals

RSI (65.8): Approaching overbought, but still tradable.

MACD (0.24): Mildly positive, suggesting early momentum.

Volume: Slightly above 1-week average, confirming active participation.

Price Action: Trading above 50 DMA (₹36.7), but below 200 DMA (₹41.9)—short-term strength, long-term caution.

⚠️ Risk Factors

Debt-to-Equity (11.6): Extremely high leverage—major red flag for risk.

ROCE (5.45%) & ROE (11.1%): Weak capital efficiency.

FII & DII Outflows: -0.30% and -0.81% respectively—sentiment softening.

P/E (8.37) vs Industry P/E (7.91): Fairly valued, not a deep discount.

52W Index (17%): Underperformance relative to broader market.

📈 Valuation & Earnings

PEG (0.15): Attractive growth-adjusted valuation.

EPS (₹4.59): Reasonable for price level.

Qtr Profit Growth (32.8%): Strong earnings momentum.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹36.5–₹37.2 (near 50 DMA and volume support)

Breakout Entry: ₹38.5–₹39.0 if RSI crosses 68 and MACD strengthens

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹41.5–₹42.0 (near 200 DMA and resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹35.5 (below 50 DMA and recent support)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD turns negative

Selva, this setup suits short-duration momentum plays but demands tight risk control due to leverage and institutional outflows. Want to build a PSU basket with confirmation filters or set up alert logic for MACD and RSI thresholds?

Edit in a page