CENTRALBK - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📉 Current Price: ₹39.2

📊 RSI: 54.4 (Neutral zone)

📈 MACD: 0.67 (Mild bullish crossover)

📉 DMA 50 / 200: ₹38.0 / ₹41.0 (Price between averages)

📉 Volume: 1,04,62,900 vs 1Wk Avg 1,31,15,698 (Below average)

💰 Market Cap: ₹35,427 Cr

📈 Qtr Profit Growth: +32.9%

📉 FII Holding: -0.09%

📉 DII Holding: -0.20%

📌 Optimal Entry Price

🎯 Entry Range: ₹37.5–₹38.5 (Near 50 DMA and recent support)

📤 Exit Strategy

💡 Exit if: Price approaches ₹44–₹46 (resistance near 200 DMA) or RSI crosses 70 with declining volume.

✅ Positive

• Strong quarterly PAT growth (+32.9%)
• Low P/E (8.10) close to industry average (8.08)
• PEG ratio of 0.15 suggests undervaluation relative to growth
• EPS of ₹4.88 indicates improving earnings
• Price near 50 DMA offers tactical entry

⚠️ Limitation

• High debt-to-equity ratio (12.0) raises financial risk
• ROCE (5.45%) and ROE (11.1%) are modest
• Volume below weekly average suggests weak momentum
• Price below 200 DMA indicates resistance ahead

📰 Company Negative News

• FII and DII holdings declined slightly
• Debt levels remain elevated

📈 Company Positive News

• Quarterly PAT increased from ₹1,169 Cr to ₹1,213 Cr
• PEG ratio and EPS reflect value and earnings strength

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E: 8.08 (in line with stock P/E)
• Banking sector remains sensitive to macroeconomic trends and interest rate cycles

🔚 Conclusion

CENTRALBK offers a moderate swing trade setup with improving profitability and attractive valuation metrics. Entry near ₹37.5–₹38.5 is technically sound, with an exit target around ₹44–₹46. However, high debt and weak volume warrant caution. A stop-loss below ₹36 is advisable to manage downside risk.

I can also track volume and RSI changes to help you time your entry and exit more precisely.