BHARATFORG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Strengths

MACD at 22.8 and RSI at 68.5 — strong momentum, nearing breakout zone.

Price above DMA50 (₹1,195) and DMA200 (₹1,226) — confirms bullish structure.

ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (13.7%) — solid capital efficiency.

EPS ₹29.3 — consistent profitability.

DII holding increased (+1.06%) — domestic institutional support.

Debt-to-equity 0.39 — moderate leverage, manageable.

⚠️ Weaknesses

P/E of 43.5 vs industry 29.1 — richly valued.

PEG ratio 3.76 — expensive relative to growth.

Volume below average — short-term interest cooling.

FII holding dipped (-1.71%) — foreign sentiment softening.

Qtr Profit Var -9.36% — mild earnings contraction.

52w Index at 49.6% — mid-range, no breakout confirmation.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Bharat Forge is currently testing a key resistance zone around ₹1,240–₹1,260. Analysts note a bullish recovery pattern with higher highs and higher lows forming on the daily chart. A sustained close above ₹1,260 could open the gates for a rally toward ₹1,300–₹1,350

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. Long-term targets for 2025 are projected around ₹1,353, with downside support near ₹963

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🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹1,230–₹1,245, near breakout zone and DMA200 support.

Confirm entry only if RSI stays below 70 and volume exceeds 9L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹1,300–₹1,350 (short-term resistance and analyst target).

Stop-loss: ₹1,190 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 75 or MACD divergence near ₹1,350.

This setup is technically promising but valuation-heavy. If you're basket-optimizing across defense or auto components, I can scan for peers with stronger PEG and volume breakout setups. Just say the word.

1

stocktwits.com

2

www.stocks-buy.com

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