BHARATFORG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | BHARATFORG | Market Cap | 68,830 Cr. | Current Price | 1,440 ₹ | High / Low | 1,461 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 50.6 | Book Value | 231 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.60 % | ROCE | 14.6 % |
| ROE | 13.7 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,358 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,278 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.75 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.85 % | PAT Qtr | 316 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 339 Cr. |
| RSI | 54.6 | MACD | 13.8 | Volume | 4,50,035 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,32,092 |
| Low price | 919 ₹ | High price | 1,461 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.38 | Debt to equity | 0.33 |
| 52w Index | 96.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | -10.3 % | EPS | 28.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 30.0 |
📊 Based on the given parameters, Bharat Forge shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is near its 52-week high, with RSI at 54.6 indicating neutral momentum. MACD is positive, suggesting short-term bullishness. However, high P/E and declining quarterly profits limit upside. Optimal entry would be closer to the 50 DMA (~1,358 ₹). If already holding, consider exiting near resistance around 1,460–1,470 ₹ unless momentum strengthens.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong market cap of 68,830 Cr.
- 💹 Healthy ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (13.7%).
- 📊 MACD positive at 13.8, showing bullish crossover.
- 📈 Volume above average, indicating active participation.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.33, relatively low leverage.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 High P/E of 50.6 compared to industry PE of 30.0.
- 📉 PEG ratio of 4.38, suggesting overvaluation.
- 📉 Quarterly profit declined (-10.3% variation).
- 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.75%).
🚨 Company Negative News
No major fresh negative news reported, but declining quarterly PAT and reduced FII interest are concerns.
🌟 Company Positive News
🏭 Industry
The auto ancillary and forging industry is cyclical, currently trading at an average PE of 30. Bharat Forge trades at a premium, reflecting investor confidence but also higher risk.
📌 Conclusion
Bharat Forge is a fair candidate for swing trading with moderate upside. Best entry near 1,350–1,360 ₹ (close to 50 DMA). If already holding, exit near 1,460–1,470 ₹ unless strong breakout occurs. Risk-reward is balanced, but caution advised due to high valuation and recent profit decline.
Would you like me to also compare Bharat Forge’s swing trade potential with another auto ancillary stock so you can see relative strength?
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