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BHARATFORG - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 2.8

Stock Code BHARATFORG Market Cap 69,029 Cr. Current Price 1,444 ₹ High / Low 1,506 ₹
Stock P/E 50.7 Book Value 231 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.62 % ROCE 14.6 %
ROE 13.7 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,414 ₹ DMA 200 1,320 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.22 % Chg in DII Hold 1.97 % PAT Qtr 316 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 339 Cr.
RSI 40.3 MACD -4.58 Volume 9,57,642 Avg Vol 1Wk 10,38,556
Low price 919 ₹ High price 1,506 ₹ PEG Ratio 4.39 Debt to equity 0.33
52w Index 89.3 % Qtr Profit Var -10.3 % EPS 28.0 ₹ Industry PE 28.0

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has corrected from highs (1,506 ₹) and is trading at 1,444 ₹, showing weakness near resistance levels.
  • Moving Averages: Current price is slightly above 50 DMA (1,414 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,320 ₹), indicating medium-term bullish bias but short-term weakness.
  • RSI: At 40.3, stock is weak and approaching oversold territory, suggesting limited downside but lack of strong momentum.
  • MACD: Negative (-4.58), confirming bearish momentum in the short term.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating oversold conditions and potential stabilization.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (9,57,642) is slightly below average weekly volume (10,38,556), showing reduced participation and cautious sentiment.

🎯 Momentum & Trade Zones

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish signals dominating but possible consolidation near support.
  • Support Levels: 1,420 ₹ (near-term), 1,320 ₹ (major support at 200 DMA).
  • Resistance Levels: 1,460 ₹ (short-term), 1,500–1,506 ₹ (recent high).
  • Optimal Entry: 1,420–1,430 ₹ if RSI stabilizes.
  • Optimal Exit: 1,480–1,500 ₹ unless breakout above 1,506 ₹ is confirmed.

📊 Trend Status

Stock is consolidating after a strong rally, with bearish short-term signals but medium-term trend still intact above 200 DMA.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (14.6%) and ROE (13.7%).
  • DII holding increased (+1.97%), showing domestic institutional confidence.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.33, manageable leverage.
  • 52-week index gain of 89.3% highlights strong long-term performance.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High valuation with P/E of 50.7 vs industry P/E of 28.0.
  • PEG ratio of 4.39 indicates expensive growth.
  • Quarterly profit declined (-10.3%).

📉 Company Negative News

  • PAT fell to 316 Cr. from 339 Cr. in previous quarter.
  • FII holding reduced (-1.22%), showing foreign investor caution.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+1.97%), reflecting domestic investor confidence.
  • EPS at 28.0 ₹ supports earnings visibility despite short-term weakness.

🏭 Industry

  • Auto and engineering sector trading at industry P/E of 28.0, lower than Bharat Forge’s valuation.
  • Sector supported by infrastructure growth and defense manufacturing initiatives.

🔎 Conclusion

Bharat Forge is technically consolidating with weak short-term momentum but medium-term support intact above 200 DMA. Traders may consider cautious entry near 1,420–1,430 ₹ with exit around 1,480–1,500 ₹. Long-term investors should wait for breakout above 1,506 ₹ for fresh bullish confirmation.

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