BAYERCROP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.7

📉 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

⚠️ Weak Technical Setup

MACD at -153 and RSI at 35.6 — confirms bearish momentum with no reversal signal.

Price below DMA50 (₹5,505) and DMA200 (₹5,545) — downtrend intact.

Volume significantly below average — lack of short-term interest.

52w Index at 36.4% — trading near lower range, but no bounce confirmation.

✅ Fundamental Positives

EPS ₹132 and ROCE (24.8%) / ROE (20.0%) — strong profitability.

Dividend yield 2.41% — decent income support.

Debt-to-equity 0.04 — near-zero leverage.

PAT Qtr ₹279 Cr. vs ₹143 Cr. — earnings recovery visible.

FII holding increased (+0.15%) — mild foreign interest.

⚠️ Valuation & Growth Concerns

P/E of 39.4 vs industry 31.7 — slightly overvalued.

PEG ratio -21.7 — negative growth outlook.

DII holding dipped (-0.18%) — domestic sentiment softening.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Bayer CropScience is currently in a bearish long-term trend, trading well below key moving averages. It’s hovering around 32.7% of its 52-week range, with no clear signs of reversal

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🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Consider entry only near ₹5,100–₹5,150, if MACD flattens and RSI rebounds above 40.

Entry confirmation should include volume >30K and price reclaiming DMA50.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹5,480–₹5,550 (near DMA200 and resistance cluster).

Stop-loss: ₹5,020 (below recent swing low and volume shelf).

Exit trigger: RSI fails to hold above 45 or MACD diverges further near ₹5,550.

This setup is fundamentally strong but technically weak. If you're basket-building across agri-inputs or mid-cap defensives, I can scan for peers with better PEG and MACD crossover setups. Just say the word.

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