BAYERCROP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📉 Bayer CropScience shows strong fundamentals but weak technical momentum and valuation concerns. Entry near ₹4,750 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting around ₹5,150–₹5,250.

📈 Positive

• 📊 ROCE of 24.8% and ROE of 20.0% reflect excellent capital efficiency.
• 💰 EPS of ₹132 and Dividend Yield of 2.59% offer solid shareholder returns.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 shows a clean balance sheet.
• 📈 Quarterly PAT increased from ₹143 Cr. to ₹279 Cr. (↑95%), indicating earnings recovery.
• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.16%, showing marginal foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 36.8 and MACD at -67.4 indicate bearish momentum.
• 📉 Trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 confirms technical weakness.
• 💸 Stock P/E of 36.5 vs industry average of 29.9 suggests premium valuation.
• 📉 PEG ratio of -20.1 signals poor growth relative to valuation.
• 📉 Volume below average (23.7K vs 30.1K), showing reduced participation.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Bayer CropScience received a GST penalty order related to FY 2018–19, raising compliance concerns

  The Economic Times

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• 📉 Analysts downgraded the stock due to declining operating profit and inefficient sales conversion

  MarketsMojo.com

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📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 Despite recent challenges, Bayer posted a strong PAT rebound and maintains high return metrics

  MarketsMojo.com

  .

• 📈 The company continues to lead in agrochemical innovation and product diversification

  Yahoo Finance

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🌾 Industry

• 🌾 Agrochemical sector faces cyclical demand and regulatory headwinds but benefits from long-term food security trends.
• 📊 Industry P/E of 29.9 reflects moderate valuation across peers.

✅ Conclusion

• 📉 Bayer CropScience is a cautious swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals but weak technicals and valuation concerns.
• 📉 Optimal entry price: ₹4,750–₹4,800 (near support and oversold zone).
• 📈 Exit target: ₹5,150–₹5,250 (near DMA 50 and resistance).
• 📌 Watch for MACD reversal and RSI above 45 before entry.

Sources

[1] Economic Times

[2] MarketsMojo

[3] Yahoo Finance

I can chart BAYERCROP’s RSI and MACD trends to help visualize its technical setup—just let me know.