BAYERCROP - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.9

📊 Analysis: BAYERCROP is trading at ₹4,301, below both 50 DMA (₹4,672) and 200 DMA (₹5,161), showing technical weakness. RSI at 25.4 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-97.8) confirms strong bearish momentum. Current volume (17,483) is slightly above average weekly volume (13,168), reflecting moderate intraday participation. Fundamentals show strong ROCE (24.8%) and ROE (20.0%), but quarterly PAT has declined sharply from ₹279 Cr. to ₹153 Cr. Valuation is slightly premium with a P/E of 31.7 compared to industry PE of 27.6.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹4,280–₹4,310 (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹4,350 (first resistance), ₹4,400 (next resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹4,250 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider partial exit near ₹4,350 if momentum slows. Full exit if price falls below ₹4,250 with continued weak RSI and MACD divergence. Intraday trend remains fragile given oversold conditions and declining profits.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (24.8%) and ROE (20.0%).
• 💹 EPS of ₹135 supports valuation strength.
• 📊 Dividend yield of 2.85% provides shareholder returns.
• 📈 Debt-to-equity ratio very low (0.03), showing financial stability.
• 📊 FII holding increased slightly (+0.16%).

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating technical weakness.
• 📊 RSI at 25.4 shows oversold momentum.
• 📉 MACD strongly negative (-97.8), confirming bearish trend.
• 📉 PEG ratio (-17.4) indicates poor growth valuation.
• 📉 52-week performance weak (+3.61%).

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined from ₹279 Cr. to ₹153 Cr.
• 📉 DII holding decreased (-0.16%).

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 FII holding increased (+0.16%).
• 📊 Dividend yield maintained at 2.85%.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 27.6, lower than BAYERCROP’s 31.7, showing premium valuation.
• 🌱 Agrochemicals sector outlook remains steady but cyclical with seasonal demand drivers.

📌 Conclusion

BAYERCROP is a weak-to-moderate candidate for intraday trading today due to oversold RSI, strong bearish MACD, and trading below key moving averages. Cautious entries near ₹4,280–₹4,310 may be considered with tight stop-loss at ₹4,250 and profit exits at ₹4,350–₹4,400. Intraday momentum remains fragile, favoring conservative strategies despite strong ROCE and dividend yield.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other agrochemical stocks (like UPL, PI Industries, Rallis India) to highlight relative intraday strength?