BALRAMCHIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.9
| Stock Code | BALRAMCHIN | Market Cap | 11,233 Cr. | Current Price | 532 ₹ | High / Low | 628 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 32.4 | Book Value | 193 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.66 % | ROCE | 9.06 % |
| ROE | 9.29 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 526 ₹ | DMA 200 | 500 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.11 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.29 % | PAT Qtr | 152 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 107 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.8 | MACD | 5.69 | Volume | 6,81,815 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 5,68,033 |
| Low price | 393 ₹ | High price | 628 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.98 | Debt to equity | 0.81 |
| 52w Index | 59.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | -31.1 % | EPS | 17.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.0 |
BALRAMCHIN shows weak-to-moderate potential for swing trading. The valuation is stretched with a P/E of 32.4 compared to the industry average of 17.0, and the PEG ratio (3.98) suggests growth is not keeping pace with valuation. Fundamentals are modest: ROCE at 9.06% and ROE at 9.29% are low, while debt-to-equity at 0.81 is manageable but adds leverage risk. Technical indicators are mixed: RSI at 47.8 is neutral, while MACD at 5.69 shows mild bullishness. The stock is trading above its 50 DMA (526 ₹) and 200 DMA (500 ₹), showing short-term strength. PAT improved (152 Cr vs 107 Cr), but quarterly profit variation (-31.1%) highlights volatility. EPS at 17.2 ₹ provides a base, though momentum is limited.
🔑 Optimal Entry Price: 520–525 ₹ (near DMA support).
📤 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 560–570 ₹ resistance unless momentum strengthens.
✅ Positive
- 📈 EPS at 17.2 ₹ provides a stable earnings base.
- 📊 PAT improved sequentially (152 Cr vs 107 Cr).
- 📉 DII holdings increased (+1.29%), showing domestic institutional confidence.
- 📈 Dividend yield (0.66%) adds shareholder value.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 High P/E ratio compared to industry peers.
- 📊 ROCE and ROE are modest.
- 📉 PEG ratio (3.98) suggests poor valuation relative to growth.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio (0.81) adds leverage risk.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly profit variation (-31.1%) highlights earnings volatility.
- ⚠️ FII holdings decreased (-1.11%), showing reduced foreign confidence.
- 📉 Valuation risk due to stretched multiples.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PAT recovery from previous quarter.
- 📊 EPS remains positive despite volatility.
- 📉 DII confidence with increased stake.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 17.0, much lower than BALRAMCHIN, showing sector is moderately valued.
- 📈 Sugar and allied sector benefits from cyclical demand and ethanol blending policies.
- ⚠️ Valuation gap may limit upside compared to peers.
📌 Conclusion
BALRAMCHIN is a weak-to-moderate swing trade candidate. Entry is best near 520–525 ₹ with cautious exit around 560–570 ₹. Fundamentals are modest, technicals show mild strength, but high valuation and earnings volatility limit short-term upside. Suitable only for risk-tolerant traders with strict stop-loss discipline.