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BALRAMCHIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:12 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

Stock Code BALRAMCHIN Market Cap 8,928 Cr. Current Price 442 ₹ High / Low 628 ₹
Stock P/E 24.0 Book Value 183 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.79 % ROCE 9.84 %
ROE 10.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 434 ₹ DMA 200 485 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.65 % Chg in DII Hold -0.09 % PAT Qtr 46.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 43.1 Cr.
RSI 59.9 MACD -1.76 Volume 1,54,854 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,01,373
Low price 393 ₹ High price 628 ₹ PEG Ratio -2.41 Debt to equity 0.21
52w Index 20.6 % Qtr Profit Var 1,413 % EPS 18.4 ₹ Industry PE 11.1

📊 BALRAMCHIN (₹442) and BALKRISIND (₹2,669) show different swing trade setups. BALRAMCHIN trades near its 50 DMA (₹434) but below its 200 DMA (₹485), with RSI at 59.9 and slightly negative MACD (-1.76), indicating consolidation. Fundamentals are moderate with P/E 24.0 vs industry 11.1, ROE 10.1%, and PAT growth (₹46 Cr. vs ₹43.1 Cr.), though FII (-0.65%) and DII (-0.09%) holdings declined. BALKRISIND trades well above both DMAs, with RSI at 73.4 (overbought) and strong MACD (30.1), showing bullish momentum. Fundamentals are stronger with ROCE 16.5%, ROE 15.5%, and EPS ₹66.7, though P/E 40.1 vs industry 30.2 and PEG ratio 9.21 suggest stretched valuations. BALKRISIND is technically stronger, while BALRAMCHIN offers cautious entry potential.

💡 Optimal Entry Price:

- BALRAMCHIN: ₹430–₹440 (near 50 DMA support).

- BALKRISIND: ₹2,550–₹2,600 (avoid chasing highs).

💡 Exit Strategy:

- BALRAMCHIN: Exit near ₹470–₹480 if momentum improves.

- BALKRISIND: Exit near ₹2,800–₹2,840 unless trend sustains further.

✅ Positive

  • BALRAMCHIN: PAT growth, EPS ₹18.4, dividend yield 0.79%, debt-to-equity 0.21 indicates manageable leverage.
  • BALKRISIND: Strong technical momentum, ROCE 16.5%, ROE 15.5%, EPS ₹66.7, dividend yield 0.60%.

⚠️ Limitation

  • BALRAMCHIN: Trades below 200 DMA, weak investor sentiment (FII/DII reduction), PEG ratio negative (-2.41).
  • BALKRISIND: RSI overbought (73.4), high P/E (40.1 vs industry 30.2), profit variation (-14.7%) in recent quarter.

📉 Company Negative News

  • BALRAMCHIN: Decline in institutional holdings, valuation premium compared to industry.
  • BALKRISIND: Overvaluation risk, profit decline in recent quarter.

📈 Company Positive News

  • BALRAMCHIN: Strong quarterly profit variation (+1,413%), stable fundamentals, dividend yield supports investors.
  • BALKRISIND: PAT growth (₹375 Cr. vs ₹265 Cr.), strong demand in tyre sector, resilient technicals.

🏭 Industry

  • BALRAMCHIN: Industry PE ~11.1, company trades at premium, reflecting cyclical sugar sector volatility.
  • BALKRISIND: Industry PE ~30.2, company trades at premium, supported by growth expectations in auto ancillary sector.

🔎 Conclusion

BALKRISIND is a stronger candidate for swing trading due to bullish technicals and decent fundamentals, but entry should be near ₹2,550–₹2,600 to avoid overbought risk, with exit around ₹2,800–₹2,840. BALRAMCHIN offers cautious swing trade potential with entry near ₹430–₹440 and exit around ₹470–₹480, but weaker technicals and reduced institutional holdings limit upside. Strict stop-loss discipline is essential for both stocks

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