BALRAMCHIN - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Analysis: BALRAMCHIN is trading at ₹438, below both 50 DMA (₹460) and 200 DMA (₹507), showing technical weakness. RSI at 51.3 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-4.14) suggests mild bearishness. Current volume (5,77,225) is significantly higher than average weekly volume (3,07,062), reflecting strong intraday participation. Fundamentals show modest ROE (10.1%) and ROCE (9.84%), but valuation is slightly premium with a P/E of 23.8 compared to industry PE of 12.4. PAT growth is strong (+1,413% QoQ), which supports sentiment despite technical weakness.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹432–₹440 (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹448 (first resistance), ₹455 (next resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹428 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider partial exit near ₹448 if momentum slows. Full exit if price falls below ₹428 with weakening RSI or MACD divergence. Intraday trend remains moderately favorable given strong volume but weak technical signals.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong PAT growth from ₹43.1 Cr. to ₹46 Cr. (+1,413% QoQ).
• 💹 EPS of ₹18.4 supports earnings visibility.
• 📊 Dividend yield of 0.78% provides shareholder returns.
• 📈 Volume significantly higher than weekly average, supporting intraday moves.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating technical weakness.
• 📊 MACD negative (-4.14), confirming mild bearishness.
• 📉 PEG ratio (-2.38) indicates poor growth valuation.
• 📉 ROCE (9.84%) and ROE (10.1%) are modest compared to peers.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.79%).
• 📉 DII holding decreased (-0.43%).

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT growth strong at ₹46 Cr. vs ₹43.1 Cr. previous quarter.
• 📊 EPS improvement supports valuation strength.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 12.4, much lower than BALRAMCHIN’s 23.8, showing premium valuation.
• 🌾 Sugar and agro sector outlook remains steady but cyclical in nature.

📌 Conclusion

BALRAMCHIN is a moderately favorable candidate for intraday trading today, supported by strong volume and PAT growth but limited by weak technicals and premium valuation. Optimal entry is near ₹432–₹440 with profit exits at ₹448–₹455 and stop-loss at ₹428. Momentum indicators suggest cautious optimism for intraday gains.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other sugar sector stocks (like Dalmia Bharat Sugar, Dhampur Sugar, Triveni Engineering) to highlight relative intraday strength?