BAJAJHLDNG - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📉 Bajaj Holdings shows strong fundamentals but weak technical momentum. Entry near ₹12,000 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting around ₹12,750–₹13,000.

📈 Positive

• 📊 EPS of ₹293 and Dividend Yield of 0.77% offer solid returns.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 reflects a clean balance sheet.
• 📈 Quarterly PAT surged from ₹90.7 Cr. to ₹236 Cr. (↑160%).
• 📈 Volume slightly above average (36K vs 34K), showing steady interest.
• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.02%, indicating marginal foreign confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 38.1 and MACD at -102 signal bearish momentum.
• 📉 Trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 suggests technical weakness.
• 💸 Stock P/E of 92.5 vs industry average of 20.9 implies overvaluation.
• 📉 ROCE of 7.24% and ROE of 6.64% are modest for a holding company.
• 📉 Negative PEG ratio (-11.5) indicates poor growth relative to valuation.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Analysts flagged concerns over valuation and lack of direct business operations.
• 📉 DII holding declined by 0.14%, showing cautious domestic sentiment.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 Bajaj Holdings posted a 257% quarterly profit jump, driven by strong returns from group investments.
• 📈 Long-term investors view it as a proxy for Bajaj group’s overall performance.

🏢 Industry

• 🏢 Holding companies trade at a discount to NAV but benefit from diversified exposure.
• 📊 Industry P/E of 20.9 reflects conservative valuation norms.

✅ Conclusion

• 📉 Bajaj Holdings is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals but weak technical indicators.
• 📉 Optimal entry price: ₹12,000–₹12,100 (near current support and below DMA 50).
• 📈 Exit target: ₹12,750–₹13,000 (near DMA 200 and resistance zone).
• 📌 Watch for RSI crossing 45 and MACD reversal before entry.

I can chart Bajaj Holdings’ RSI and MACD trends to help visualize its momentum setup—just let me know.