BAJAJHLDNG - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.1

📊 Analysis: BAJAJHLDNG is trading at ₹11,134, below both 50 DMA (₹11,793) and 200 DMA (₹12,256), showing technical weakness. RSI at 38.0 indicates weak momentum, while MACD (-282) confirms strong bearishness. Current volume (30,814) is lower than average weekly volume (44,992), reflecting reduced intraday participation. Fundamentals show strong EPS (₹395) and debt-free balance sheet, but ROCE (7.24%) and ROE (6.64%) are modest. Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 47.8 compared to industry PE of 18.7.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹11,100–₹11,150 (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹11,250 (first resistance), ₹11,350 (next resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹11,050 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider partial exit near ₹11,250 if momentum slows. Full exit if price falls below ₹11,050 with continued weak RSI and MACD divergence. Intraday trend remains cautious given weak momentum and premium valuation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 EPS of ₹395 supports valuation strength.
• 💹 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00).
• 📊 PAT growth from ₹236 Cr. to ₹2,181 Cr. (+107% QoQ).
• 📈 Dividend yield of 0.83% provides shareholder returns.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating technical weakness.
• 📊 RSI at 38.0 shows weak momentum.
• 📉 MACD strongly negative (-282), confirming bearish trend.
• 📉 Current volume below average weekly volume.
• 💸 High P/E (47.8) compared to industry PE (18.7).
• 📉 ROCE (7.24%) and ROE (6.64%) are modest.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 DII holding decreased (-0.14%).
• 📉 Valuation remains expensive relative to peers.

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT recovery strong at ₹2,181 Cr. vs ₹236 Cr. previous quarter.
• 📊 FII holding increased slightly (+0.02%).
• 📈 Dividend yield maintained at 0.83%.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 18.7, much lower than BAJAJHLDNG’s 47.8, showing premium valuation.
• 🏦 Holding company sector outlook remains steady but valuations are stretched compared to peers.

📌 Conclusion

BAJAJHLDNG is a weak-to-moderate candidate for intraday trading today due to weak RSI, strong bearish MACD, and trading below key moving averages. Cautious entries near ₹11,100–₹11,150 may be considered with tight stop-loss at ₹11,050 and profit exits at ₹11,250–₹11,350. Intraday momentum remains fragile, favoring conservative strategies despite strong PAT growth.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other Bajaj Group companies (like Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Finserv) to highlight relative intraday strength?