AUBANK - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading below 50-DMA (₹731) but above 200-DMA (₹690), indicating a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend.

RSI (48.3): Neutral-to-weak zone—no momentum confirmation yet.

MACD (-9.22): Bearish crossover—momentum is fading, not ideal for immediate entry.

Volume: Below 1-week average, suggesting reduced participation and lack of conviction.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 24.6 Slightly overvalued vs industry PE (17.2)

PEG Ratio 1.06 Fairly priced relative to growth

ROCE / ROE 8.4% / 14.2% Moderate efficiency—acceptable but not standout

Debt-to-Equity 7.92 Very high leverage—risk factor for volatility

PAT Growth (QoQ) +15.2% Solid earnings momentum

FII/DII Change +2.10% / +1.70% Strong institutional buying—positive sentiment

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Mild bullish setup with strong institutional support but technical weakness.

Catalyst: FII/DII inflow and PAT growth offer fundamental support.

Risk: High debt and weak MACD/RSI suggest caution—momentum confirmation needed.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹705–₹715

(Near 200-DMA support with stop-loss below ₹690)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹755–₹770 (Resistance zone near 50-DMA and prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹690 (Below 200-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup could work as a tactical swing if paired with confirmation overlays. Want to scan for low-debt, high-ROCE financials to balance the basket? I can prep that next.

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