ASIANPAINT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading exactly at 50-DMA (₹2,478) and slightly above 200-DMA (₹2,471), indicating a neutral trend with no clear breakout.

RSI (44.3): Weak zone — momentum is fading and approaching oversold territory.

MACD (5.34): Mildly positive — momentum is flat and lacks conviction.

Volume: Below 1-week average — suggests low participation and weak follow-through.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 63.2 Overvalued vs industry PE (48.7) — valuation caution

PEG Ratio 8.93 Severely overpriced relative to growth — not ideal for swing logic

ROCE / ROE 27.3% / 20.7% Excellent efficiency — supports long-term quality

Debt-to-Equity 0.06 Very low leverage — financially sound

PAT Growth (QoQ) +34.7% Strong earnings momentum — sentiment positive

FII/DII Change -0.38% / +5.47% Strong DII accumulation — bullish undertone

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Fundamentally strong but technically weak setup.

Catalyst: DII accumulation and ROCE strength offer support, but MACD and RSI lack momentum confirmation.

Risk: Elevated valuation and weak technicals — entry should be cautious and tightly managed.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹2,440–₹2,460

(Pullback toward 200-DMA with stop-loss below ₹2,400)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹2,580–₹2,620 (Resistance near recent swing highs and psychological round level)

Stop-Loss: ₹2,400 (Below 200-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a reversal watchlist with strong institutional backing and efficiency metrics, but lacks momentum confirmation. If you're refining your consumer staples or premium brand rotation, I can scan for peers with stronger PEG alignment and breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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