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ASIANPAINT - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code ASIANPAINT Market Cap 2,30,318 Cr. Current Price 2,401 ₹ High / Low 2,986 ₹
Stock P/E 57.3 Book Value 199 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.03 % ROCE 27.3 %
ROE 20.7 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,702 ₹ DMA 200 2,600 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.14 % Chg in DII Hold -0.42 % PAT Qtr 1,146 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 956 Cr.
RSI 22.2 MACD -93.5 Volume 8,57,382 Avg Vol 1Wk 28,13,749
Low price 2,125 ₹ High price 2,986 ₹ PEG Ratio 8.11 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 32.1 % Qtr Profit Var 3.80 % EPS 39.4 ₹ Industry PE 33.9

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Price (2,401 ₹) is trading well below both 50 DMA (2,702 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,600 ₹), indicating strong weakness.
  • Moving Averages: Clear downward bias as price remains under key averages.
  • RSI: At 22.2, oversold territory, signaling potential rebound.
  • MACD: Negative (-93.5), bearish crossover continues.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, support seen around 2,350–2,400 ₹.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (8.57L) is far below 1-week average (28.1L), showing weak participation.

🎯 Momentum & Trade Zones

  • Support Levels: 2,350–2,400 ₹ (near Bollinger lower band), 2,125 ₹ (recent low).
  • Resistance Levels: 2,600 ₹ (200 DMA), 2,702 ₹ (50 DMA), 2,800–2,900 ₹ (psychological barrier).
  • Entry Zone: 2,350–2,400 ₹ (accumulation near support).
  • Exit Zone: 2,600–2,700 ₹ (profit booking near resistance).
  • Trend: Strong downtrend with oversold signals; reversal possible if price sustains above 2,600–2,700 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • ROCE (27.3%) and ROE (20.7%) reflect strong efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.08, very low leverage.
  • Dividend yield of 1.03% provides shareholder returns.
  • Quarterly PAT improved (1,146 Cr. vs 956 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
  • FII holdings increased (+1.14%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, reflecting technical weakness.
  • High P/E (57.3) compared to industry average (33.9), suggesting overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio (8.11) indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • Volume participation is weak, reducing conviction in price moves.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-0.42%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • MACD remains negative, reflecting weak momentum.

📊 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT improved significantly (1,146 Cr. vs 956 Cr.).
  • FII holdings increased (+1.14%), reflecting foreign support.
  • Strong ROCE and ROE highlight operational efficiency.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 33.9, much lower than company’s 57.3, suggesting sector peers may be more attractively priced.
  • Paints and coatings sector demand remains steady, driven by housing, infrastructure, and industrial growth.

📝 Conclusion

  • ASIANPAINT is in a downtrend, trading well below key moving averages.
  • Optimal entry near 2,350–2,400 ₹ with exit around 2,600–2,700 ₹.
  • Strong fundamentals and earnings growth make it attractive long term, but high valuation and weak technicals limit short-term upside.
  • Medium-term investors should wait for breakout above 2,600–2,700 ₹ to confirm reversal trend.

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