AMBUJACEM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading slightly above 50-DMA (₹577) and 200-DMA (₹565), suggesting a mild bullish bias but not a strong breakout.

RSI (54.3): Neutral-to-bullish zone—momentum is building but not overheated.

MACD (-2.90): Bearish crossover—momentum is soft and lacks confirmation.

Volume: Below 1-week average, indicating reduced participation and weak conviction.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 35.5 Fairly valued vs industry PE (47.3) — valuation support

PEG Ratio 1.71 Slightly expensive relative to growth — acceptable for tactical swing

ROCE / ROE 8.80% / 8.77% Moderate efficiency — not standout but stable

Debt-to-Equity 0.01 Virtually debt-free — strong financial base

PAT Growth (QoQ) -8.0% Mild decline — sentiment neutral

FII/DII Change -1.17% / +1.40% DII accumulation offsets FII trimming — net positive sentiment

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Valuation-supported setup with mild momentum and institutional interest.

Catalyst: Price support near DMA cluster + DII inflow + strong EPS base.

Risk: MACD weakness and low volume — entry should be cautious and tightly managed.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹570–₹580

(Near 50-DMA support with stop-loss below ₹560)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹610–₹625 (Resistance zone from prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹560 (Below 200-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a valuation-driven swing basket with moderate confirmation. If you're refining your cement or infra rotation, I can scan for peers with stronger ROCE and breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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