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AMBUJACEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:55 pm

Technical Rating: 3.1

Stock Code AMBUJACEM Market Cap 1,09,107 Cr. Current Price 441 ₹ High / Low 625 ₹
Stock P/E 30.4 Book Value 206 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.45 % ROCE 8.80 %
ROE 8.77 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 501 ₹ DMA 200 540 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.11 % Chg in DII Hold 0.23 % PAT Qtr 227 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,571 Cr.
RSI 31.6 MACD -24.1 Volume 31,30,486 Avg Vol 1Wk 46,56,550
Low price 424 ₹ High price 625 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.47 Debt to equity 0.02
52w Index 8.35 % Qtr Profit Var -87.1 % EPS 13.7 ₹ Industry PE 28.2

📊 Chart & Trend: Current price (441 ₹) is trading well below both 50 DMA (501 ₹) and 200 DMA (540 ₹), reflecting a strong bearish undertone. Support lies near 424 ₹, resistance at 500–540 ₹.

📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 31.6 indicates oversold conditions. MACD at -24.1 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, signaling weakness but potential for a short-term rebound.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (31.3 lakh) is below the 1-week average (46.5 lakh), showing weak participation and lack of strong conviction.

🎯 Entry Zone: 425–440 ₹ (near support, oversold RSI may trigger bounce).

🎯 Exit Zone: 495–510 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance; profit booking advisable).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is trending downward with oversold signals. Short-term rebound possible, but long-term weakness persists below moving averages.


Positive

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) indicates strong financial stability.
  • Dividend yield at 0.45% adds income appeal.
  • EPS at 13.7 ₹ provides a steady earnings base.

Limitation

  • P/E (30.4) is slightly above industry average (28.2), suggesting mild overvaluation.
  • ROCE (8.80%) and ROE (8.77%) reflect weak capital efficiency.
  • Stock trading well below 200 DMA reflects long-term weakness.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined sharply (227 Cr vs 1,571 Cr), showing earnings pressure.
  • FII holding decreased (-0.11%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+0.23%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • PEG ratio at 1.47 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 28.2 suggests moderate sector valuation.
  • Cement sector benefits from infrastructure demand and government spending, though cyclical pressures remain.

Conclusion

⚖️ AMBUJACEM is trending downward, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum indicators. Entry near 425–440 ₹ offers tactical opportunity for short-term rebound toward 495–510 ₹. Fundamentals show financial stability and modest dividend support, but sharp PAT decline and weak efficiency metrics limit upside. Best suited for cautious swing trades with strict stop-loss near 424 ₹.

Would you like me to extend this into a cement sector basket overlay with peer benchmarking, so you can compare AMBUJACEM’s weak technicals against stronger setups in peers like Ultratech Cement or Shree Cement?

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