⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

ALKEM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 02:36 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

Stock Code ALKEM Market Cap 63,901 Cr. Current Price 5,348 ₹ High / Low 5,934 ₹
Stock P/E 28.9 Book Value 1,143 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.84 % ROCE 19.5 %
ROE 19.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 5,452 ₹ DMA 200 5,444 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.18 % Chg in DII Hold -0.15 % PAT Qtr 654 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 724 Cr.
RSI 47.0 MACD -7.46 Volume 1,06,062 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,14,286
Low price 4,716 ₹ High price 5,934 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.07 Debt to equity 0.06
52w Index 51.9 % Qtr Profit Var -3.35 % EPS 196 ₹ Industry PE 30.2

Analysis: ALKEM shows strong fundamentals with ROCE at 19.5% and ROE at 19.9%, both healthy levels. The current price (₹5,348) is slightly below both the 50 DMA (₹5,452) and 200 DMA (₹5,444), suggesting short-term weakness but long-term stability. RSI at 47.0 and MACD at -7.46 indicate neutral to bearish momentum. Valuation is fair with a P/E of 28.9 compared to industry 30.2, and PEG ratio of 2.07 suggests moderate growth potential. Debt-to-equity is very low (0.06), showing financial strength. Quarterly PAT declined from ₹724 Cr. to ₹654 Cr., reflecting earnings pressure, but EPS of ₹196 remains strong.

Optimal Entry Price: ₹5,250–5,350 (near current support levels).

Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider profit booking near ₹5,800–5,900. Exit if price falls below ₹5,200 with strong volume.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (19.5%) and ROE (19.9%).
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.06), nearly debt-free.
  • EPS of ₹196 shows robust earnings power.
  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.18%).

⚠️ Limitation

  • Quarterly PAT declined (-3.35%), showing earnings pressure.
  • MACD negative (-7.46), indicating short-term weakness.
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.15%), showing reduced domestic support.

📉 Company Negative News

  • No major negative news reported, but profit decline is a concern.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong fundamentals with high ROCE and ROE.
  • Dividend yield of 0.84% adds investor appeal.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 30.2, slightly higher than company’s 28.9.
  • Pharma sector remains resilient with steady demand.

🔎 Conclusion

ALKEM is a solid swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals and fair valuation. Entry near ₹5,250–5,350 offers a favorable risk-reward. Exit near ₹5,800–5,900 or below ₹5,200 ensures disciplined profit-taking.

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