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ALKEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:55 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code ALKEM Market Cap 63,740 Cr. Current Price 5,332 ₹ High / Low 5,934 ₹
Stock P/E 28.8 Book Value 1,143 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.84 % ROCE 19.5 %
ROE 19.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 5,558 ₹ DMA 200 5,462 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.50 % Chg in DII Hold -0.39 % PAT Qtr 654 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 724 Cr.
RSI 41.1 MACD -67.8 Volume 65,922 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,32,277
Low price 4,612 ₹ High price 5,934 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.07 Debt to equity 0.06
52w Index 54.5 % Qtr Profit Var -3.35 % EPS 196 ₹ Industry PE 27.6

📊 Chart & Trend: Current price (5,332 ₹) is trading below both 50 DMA (5,558 ₹) and 200 DMA (5,462 ₹), reflecting a mild bearish undertone. Support lies near 5,300 ₹, resistance at 5,558–5,600 ₹ and 5,934 ₹ (recent high).

📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 41.1 suggests neutral-to-weak momentum. MACD at -67.8 confirms bearish bias. Bollinger Bands show price leaning toward the lower band, signaling weakness but potential for a short-term rebound.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (65,922) is below the 1-week average (1,32,277), showing weak participation and lack of strong conviction.

🎯 Entry Zone: 5,250–5,350 ₹ (near support, tactical entry).

🎯 Exit Zone: 5,550–5,600 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance; profit booking advisable).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias. Oversold signals are not yet present, but weak momentum suggests caution until volume improves.


Positive

  • High ROCE (19.5%) and ROE (19.9%) reflect strong capital efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.06 indicates near debt-free status.
  • EPS at 196 ₹ highlights robust earnings base.

Limitation

  • P/E (28.8) is slightly above industry average (27.6), suggesting mild overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio at 2.07 indicates stretched valuation relative to growth.
  • Quarterly profit variance (-3.35%) shows earnings decline.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined (654 Cr vs 724 Cr), reflecting short-term weakness.
  • DII holding decreased (-0.39%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.

Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased (+0.50%), showing foreign investor interest.
  • Strong 52-week performance (54.5% index gain) highlights robust momentum.
  • Dividend yield at 0.84% adds income appeal.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 27.6 suggests moderate sector valuation.
  • Pharmaceutical sector benefits from global demand, healthcare expansion, and regulatory support.

Conclusion

⚖️ ALKEM is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below key moving averages. Entry near 5,250–5,350 ₹ offers tactical opportunity, with exit targets around 5,550–5,600 ₹. Fundamentals remain strong with high efficiency and dividend support, but valuations are stretched and earnings decline is a concern. Best suited for cautious swing trades with strict stop-loss near 5,250 ₹.

Would you like me to extend this into a pharma sector basket overlay with peer benchmarking, so you can compare ALKEM’s setup against AJANTPHARM, AKUMS, and APLLTD for rotation opportunities?

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