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ALKEM - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code ALKEM Market Cap 66,072 Cr. Current Price 5,526 ₹ High / Low 5,934 ₹
Stock P/E 29.5 Book Value 1,143 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.81 % ROCE 19.5 %
ROE 19.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 5,660 ₹ DMA 200 5,432 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.50 % Chg in DII Hold -0.39 % PAT Qtr 724 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 610 Cr.
RSI 39.4 MACD 7.11 Volume 24,481 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,08,632
Low price 4,492 ₹ High price 5,934 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.12 Debt to equity 0.06
52w Index 71.7 % Qtr Profit Var 12.8 % EPS 204 ₹ Industry PE 29.1

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Price (5,526 ₹) is below 50 DMA (5,660 ₹) but above 200 DMA (5,432 ₹), showing mixed signals.
  • Moving Averages: Short-term weakness but long-term support intact.
  • RSI: At 39.4, approaching oversold territory, potential rebound signal.
  • MACD: Positive (7.11), suggesting early bullish crossover despite weak RSI.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, support seen around 5,500 ₹.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (24,481) is significantly below 1-week average (1,08,632), showing weak participation.

🎯 Momentum & Trade Zones

  • Support Levels: 5,432 ₹ (200 DMA), 5,500 ₹ (near Bollinger lower band), 4,492 ₹ (recent low).
  • Resistance Levels: 5,660 ₹ (50 DMA), 5,800–5,900 ₹ (psychological barrier), 5,934 ₹ (recent high).
  • Entry Zone: 5,450–5,550 ₹ (accumulation near support).
  • Exit Zone: 5,800–5,900 ₹ (profit booking near resistance).
  • Trend: Consolidating with mild bearish bias; reversal possible if price sustains above 5,660 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (19.5%) and ROE (19.9%) reflect solid efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.06, virtually debt-free.
  • Dividend yield of 0.81% provides shareholder returns.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.50%), showing foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (724 Cr. vs 610 Cr.) highlights earnings momentum.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below 50 DMA, reflecting short-term weakness.
  • High PEG ratio (2.12) indicates expensive growth prospects.
  • Volume participation is weak, reducing conviction in price moves.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-0.39%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variance at 12.8% is positive but slower compared to peers.

📊 Company Positive News

  • EPS at 204 ₹ supports strong valuation.
  • Quarterly PAT growth highlights operational strength.
  • FII inflows (+0.50%) reflect foreign investor optimism.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 29.1, in line with company’s 29.5, suggesting fair sector valuation.
  • Pharma sector remains resilient with strong demand from exports and domestic consumption.

📝 Conclusion

  • ALKEM is consolidating with mild bearish bias but supported by strong fundamentals.
  • Optimal entry near 5,450–5,550 ₹ with exit around 5,800–5,900 ₹.
  • Strong efficiency, low debt, and earnings growth make it attractive, but weak short-term technicals limit upside.
  • Medium-term investors should watch for breakout above 5,660–5,934 ₹ to confirm reversal trend.

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