AIIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📉 AIIL shows strong fundamentals but weak technical momentum. Entry near ₹2,850 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting around ₹3,100–₹3,200.

📈 Positive

• 💰 Low P/E of 12.0 vs industry average of 22.6 indicates undervaluation.
• 📊 ROCE of 30.8% and ROE of 34.1% reflect excellent capital efficiency.
• 📈 EPS of ₹241 supports strong earnings potential.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 shows minimal leverage.
• 📈 FII holding increased by 6.17%, signaling foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 33.8 and MACD at -64.7 indicate bearish momentum.
• 📉 Trading below DMA 50 (₹3,038) suggests short-term weakness.
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹1,766 Cr. to ₹941 Cr. (↓47%).
• 💸 Dividend yield of 0.03% is negligible.
• 📉 PEG ratio of 0.14 implies limited growth expectations.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2 earnings declined sharply, raising concerns about sustainability of past growth.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 Goldman Sachs acquired ₹200 Cr. stake in AIIL at a 20% discount, signaling long-term confidence

  The Economic Times

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• 📈 AIIL delivered 4069.1% returns over 5 years, marking it as a potential multibagger

  stockpricearchive.com

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🏭 Industry

• 🏦 AIIL operates in the NBFC sector, which remains mixed but resilient amid macroeconomic shifts

  Trendlyne

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• 📊 Industry P/E of 22.6 suggests moderate valuation across financial peers.

✅ Conclusion

• 📉 AIIL is a moderate swing trade candidate with strong fundamentals but weak technicals.
• 📉 Optimal entry price: ₹2,850–₹2,880 (near current support).
• 📈 Exit target: ₹3,100–₹3,200 (near resistance and DMA 50).
• 📌 Watch for RSI recovery and MACD crossover before entry.

Would you like a visual chart of AIIL’s RSI and MACD trends to support this analysis?