AIIL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

📊 Swing Trade Analysis for AIIL Ltd.

Swing Trade Rating: 4.3

⚙️ Technical Overview

Current Price ₹2,826 is hovering near its 52-week high ₹2,898, suggesting strong recent momentum but limited short-term upside without a breakout.

50-DMA ₹2,538 vs. 200-DMA ₹1,983: Strong uptrend — the price is well above both moving averages.

RSI (58.9): Slightly bullish, though nearing overbought territory — indicates momentum is still in favor but nearing exhaustion.

MACD (+75.0): Strong bullish signal — momentum favors continuation.

Volume (3.26 lakh) is significantly lower than the weekly average (23.7 lakh), which hints at reduced participation and potential for pullback or consolidation.

📚 Fundamental Snapshot

P/E Ratio (11.8) vs. Industry P/E (25.2): Undervalued — provides upside potential.

EPS ₹241 & Book Value ₹865: Very solid valuation.

ROE (33.9%) & ROCE (30.7%): Excellent return ratios — business quality looks high.

Debt-to-Equity (0.05): Low leverage — financially sound.

Qtr Profit Var -14.0%: A sharp drop in quarterly profit — this could trigger caution if it continues.

FII/DII Holding: Marginal net increase — mildly positive investor sentiment.

Dividend Yield (0.04%): Extremely low — not ideal for income seekers.

🧠 Note: The missing PEG ratio and dip in PAT (-14%) raise a caution flag despite strong metrics.

✅ Optimal Entry Price

Wait for a pullback near ₹2,740–₹2,760 before entering.

Tight stop-loss at ₹2,700, as it's close to recent support and just above 50-DMA.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Conservative Exit: Around ₹2,880–₹2,900, near previous highs.

Aggressive Exit: If it breaks ₹2,900 with volume, trail-stop to ₹2,860 and aim for ₹3,050–₹3,100.

Be cautious of profit-booking around ₹2,900 — strong resistance zone.

💡 Final Take

AIIL presents a compelling swing setup with strong valuation and technical momentum. However, light current volume and falling PAT need monitoring. Ideal for active traders who can react swiftly to price action.

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