AIIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | AIIL | Market Cap | 46,435 Cr. | Current Price | 546 ₹ | High / Low | 684 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 24.2 | Book Value | 171 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.04 % | ROCE | 13.8 % |
| ROE | 13.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 493 ₹ | DMA 200 | 501 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.22 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.02 % | PAT Qtr | 45.5 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 168 Cr. |
| RSI | 63.3 | MACD | 17.0 | Volume | 6,59,519 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 21,76,962 |
| Low price | 400 ₹ | High price | 684 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.24 | Debt to equity | 0.21 |
| 52w Index | 51.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -97.4 % | EPS | 22.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 22.4 |
AIIL shows weak swing trading potential due to sharp profit decline and moderate fundamentals. The P/E ratio (24.2) is close to the industry average (22.4), but quarterly PAT dropped significantly (45.5 Cr vs 168 Cr), raising concerns. ROCE (13.8%) and ROE (13.2%) are modest, while debt-to-equity (0.21) is manageable. Technical indicators show mild bullishness: RSI at 63.3 suggests overbought territory, and MACD at 17.0 indicates positive momentum. The stock is trading above both 50 DMA (493 ₹) and 200 DMA (501 ₹), showing strength, but volume is lower than average, reflecting reduced participation. The PEG ratio (0.24) is favorable, suggesting growth potential, but earnings volatility limits confidence.
🔑 Optimal Entry Price: 520–530 ₹ (near DMA support).
📤 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 570–580 ₹ resistance unless earnings outlook improves.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Favorable PEG ratio (0.24) suggests growth potential relative to valuation.
- 📊 Manageable debt-to-equity ratio (0.21).
- 📈 Stock trading above DMA levels shows technical strength.
- 📊 EPS at 22.6 ₹ provides a solid earnings base.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 ROCE and ROE are modest, not very high.
- 📉 Dividend yield (0.04%) is negligible.
- 📊 RSI indicates overbought conditions, limiting upside.
- 📉 Volume below average, showing reduced market interest.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Sharp decline in quarterly PAT (45.5 Cr vs 168 Cr).
- ⚠️ Profit variation (-97.4%) raises concerns about earnings stability.
- 📉 FII holdings decreased (-0.22%), showing reduced foreign confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 PEG ratio supports growth valuation.
- 📊 EPS remains positive despite profit decline.
- 📉 DII holdings increased slightly (+0.02%), showing domestic support.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 22.4, close to AIIL’s 24.2, showing sector is fairly valued.
- 📈 Sector growth potential supports long-term demand.
- ⚠️ Competitive pressures may limit margin expansion.
📌 Conclusion
AIIL is a weak swing trade candidate due to sharp profit decline and modest fundamentals. Entry is best near 520–530 ₹ with cautious exit around 570–580 ₹. While PEG ratio is favorable, earnings volatility and weak momentum limit short-term upside. Suitable only for risk-tolerant traders with strict stop-loss discipline.