AIIL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation
Back to ListFundamental Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | AIIL | Market Cap | 40,066 Cr. | Current Price | 472 ₹ | High / Low | 684 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 11.0 | Book Value | 191 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.04 % | ROCE | 30.8 % |
| ROE | 34.1 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 478 ₹ | DMA 200 | 504 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.22 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.02 % | PAT Qtr | 168 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 765 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.7 | MACD | 5.38 | Volume | 2,09,706 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,31,161 |
| Low price | 330 ₹ | High price | 684 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.13 | Debt to equity | 0.17 |
| 52w Index | 40.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | -69.2 % | EPS | 42.9 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.2 |
📊 Financials: AIIL demonstrates strong efficiency with ROCE at 30.8% and ROE at 34.1%, supported by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17. EPS stands at ₹42.9, providing a solid earnings base. However, quarterly PAT dropped sharply (-69.2%), indicating earnings volatility and weak cash flow stability.
💹 Valuation: The stock trades at a P/E of 11.0 compared to the industry average of 18.2, suggesting undervaluation. The PEG ratio of 0.13 highlights strong growth potential relative to valuation. Book value is ₹191, giving a P/B ratio of ~2.5, which is attractive compared to peers.
🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage: AIIL operates in a sector with stable demand, leveraging efficient capital use and strong profitability. Its competitive advantage lies in high return metrics and attractive valuation. However, sharp profit contraction raises concerns about sustainability.
🎯 Entry Zone: A favorable entry zone lies near ₹465–₹470 (support levels). Current price of ₹472 is close to this zone, offering a reasonable risk-reward setup.
📈 Long-Term Holding Guidance: Suitable for long-term investors given strong fundamentals and undervaluation. However, strict monitoring of earnings stability is essential. Partial allocation with profit booking near ₹500–₹510 is recommended.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (30.8%) and ROE (34.1%)
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.17)
- EPS at ₹42.9 supports earnings visibility
- Attractive P/E (11.0) vs industry average (18.2)
- PEG ratio of 0.13 highlights undervaluation
Limitation
- Quarterly PAT decline (-69.2%) shows earnings volatility
- Dividend yield is negligible at 0.04%
- Price below 200 DMA (₹504), limiting upside momentum
- Trading volume weaker than 1-week average
Company Negative News
- Sharp decline in quarterly profits (₹168 Cr. vs ₹765 Cr.)
- Reduced foreign investor confidence (FII holdings -0.22%)
Company Positive News
- Strong fundamentals with high ROCE/ROE
- Domestic institutional inflows (+0.02%) provide minor support
- Attractive valuation compared to peers
Industry
- Industry P/E at 18.2 highlights sector trading at higher multiples
- Sector outlook remains stable, but AIIL trades at discount valuation
Conclusion
⚖️ AIIL is fundamentally strong with high efficiency and undervaluation, but earnings volatility and weak volumes limit conviction. Entry near ₹465–₹470 offers favorable risk-reward, with exit around ₹500–₹510. Long-term holding is justified if earnings stabilize; otherwise, cautious partial exposure is recommended.