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AIIL - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 25 May 26, 12:02 am

Fundamental Rating: 3.2

Stock Code AIIL Market Cap 43,362 Cr. Current Price 511 ₹ High / Low 684 ₹
Stock P/E 12.0 Book Value 191 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.04 % ROCE 30.8 %
ROE 34.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 485 ₹ DMA 200 503 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.22 % Chg in DII Hold 0.02 % PAT Qtr 168 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 765 Cr.
RSI 63.6 MACD 11.3 Volume 8,13,525 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,61,628
Low price 400 ₹ High price 684 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.14 Debt to equity 0.17
52w Index 39.0 % Qtr Profit Var -69.2 % EPS 42.9 ₹ Industry PE 18.3

📊 Financial Overview: AIIL demonstrates strong return metrics with ROCE at 30.8% and ROE at 34.1%, supported by a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17. However, quarterly profit dropped sharply from ₹765 Cr. to ₹168 Cr. (-69.2%), raising concerns about earnings consistency. Cash flows remain stable due to moderate leverage, but profitability volatility is a limitation.

💹 Valuation Indicators: The stock trades at a P/E of 12.0 compared to the industry average of 18.3, suggesting undervaluation. With a book value of ₹191, the P/B ratio is ~2.7, which is reasonable. PEG ratio of 0.14 indicates strong growth potential relative to valuation. Intrinsic value appears higher than the current market price of ₹511, making it attractive for entry.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage: AIIL operates in the industrial sector, leveraging efficiency, scale, and diversified operations. Its competitive advantage lies in strong return metrics and operational efficiency, though earnings volatility weakens overall health.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance: Current price ₹511 is below intrinsic comfort levels. A favorable entry zone would be ₹480–₹500, aligning with DMA support. Long-term holding is advisable given strong ROCE/ROE and undervaluation, provided earnings stabilize.

Positive

  • ✅ Strong ROCE (30.8%) and ROE (34.1%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • ✅ P/E (12.0) below industry average (18.3), suggesting undervaluation.
  • ✅ PEG ratio (0.14) signals attractive growth potential.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Quarterly profit dropped sharply (-69.2%).
  • ⚠️ Dividend yield (0.04%) offers minimal investor income.
  • ⚠️ Earnings volatility raises sustainability concerns.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 PAT fell from ₹765 Cr. to ₹168 Cr. in the latest quarter.
  • 📉 FII holding decreased by -0.22%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 DII holding increased by 0.02%, reflecting domestic support.
  • 📈 RSI at 63.6 and MACD at 11.3 suggest bullish momentum.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry P/E at 18.3, higher than AIIL’s valuation, highlighting relative undervaluation.
  • 🏭 Sector growth driven by industrial expansion and efficiency improvements.

Conclusion

🔎 AIIL is fundamentally strong with high ROCE/ROE and undervaluation relative to peers. Entry should be considered near ₹480–₹500. Long-term holding is favorable if earnings stabilize, making it a potentially rewarding investment.

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