AFFLE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

Entry Zone: ₹1,780–₹1,820 (only if RSI > 40 and MACD flattens)

Exit if held: ₹1,940–₹1,970 (near 50 DMA and resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹1,832
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹2,187 / ₹1,221
• 📉 RSI: 35.6 (oversold zone)
• 📉 MACD: -23.5 (strong bearish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 7.17L vs 1W Avg 2.68L (spike — possible reversal interest)
• 📈 FII/DII Holding Change: +0.60% / +0.86%
• 📈 Qtr Profit Var: +10.2% YoY
• 📉 P/E: 215 vs Industry 34.0 (extremely overvalued)
• 📉 PEG Ratio: 8.00 (growth overpriced)

✅ Positive

• 📈 Zero Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.00 — clean balance sheet.
• 📈 Volume Spike: Indicates potential accumulation or reversal interest.
• 📈 FII/DII Accumulation: Both foreign and domestic institutions increased stake.
• 📈 EPS: ₹8.52 — consistent earnings base.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI < 40: Indicates weak momentum and oversold condition.
• 📉 MACD Deep Negative: Strong bearish trend still active.
• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E of 215 and PEG of 8.00 — extremely stretched.
• 📉 ROCE & ROE: 8.64% and 6.39% — below sector leaders.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 RMG Ban Impact: Real-money gaming slowdown in India affected ad spend volumes in Q2FY26.
• 📉 Margin Pressure: High tech investment and global expansion weighing on short-term profitability.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Revenue Growth Target: Affle 3i aims for 20% YoY growth in FY26 despite RMG headwinds.
• 📈 Festive Recovery: Q2 ad spends rebounded in India and developed markets starting with Thanksgiving.
• 📦 AI Integration: Focused on operational efficiency via proprietary consumer intelligence platform.

📱 Industry

• 📈 Digital Ad Spend: Expected to grow 15–20% YoY in India and emerging markets.
• 📉 Regulatory Risk: Ad tech firms exposed to data privacy and content moderation norms globally.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless RSI > 40 and MACD flattens with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹1,940–₹1,970 (50 DMA and resistance zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals stable, valuation stretched, momentum weak — suitable only for alert-driven tactical trades.

Sources

CNBC TV18 – Affle 3i targets 20% growth

Sharekhan – Market Update

HelloSafe – Investment Outlook