AFFLE - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation
Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am
Back to Fundamental ListFundamental Rating: 3.2
๐ Financial Overview: Affle (India) Ltd. maintains a debt-free balance sheet (debt-to-equity: 0.00) and demonstrates modest profitability with ROCE of 8.64% and ROE of 6.39%. EPS stands at โน8.33, and quarterly PAT was โน29.7 Cr, slightly down from โน30.8 Cr, but still showing a positive profit variance of 5.43%. The stock is trading near its 50 DMA and above its 200 DMA, indicating neutral-to-bullish technical positioning.
๐ฐ Valuation Metrics: The stock trades at a steep P/E of 232, far above the industry average of 33.1, suggesting significant overvaluation. The P/B ratio is ~14.4 (โน1,927 / โน134), and the PEG ratio of 8.62 indicates that growth does not justify the current valuation. Dividend yield is 0%, reflecting a reinvestment-focused strategy.
๐ข Business Model & Competitive Edge: Affle operates in mobile advertising and digital marketing, offering consumer engagement and analytics solutions. Its proprietary platforms and AI-driven targeting provide a competitive edge in the ad-tech space. The company benefits from rising digital ad spends and mobile penetration, though margins are sensitive to platform costs and competition.
๐ Entry Zone: A more attractive entry zone lies between โน1,600โโน1,750, closer to the 200 DMA and below recent highs, offering better valuation comfort.
๐ Long-Term Holding Guidance: Suitable for long-term investors with high risk tolerance seeking exposure to digital advertising growth. Accumulate on dips and monitor profitability trends, platform scalability, and global expansion.
โ Positive
- Debt-free balance sheet enhances financial flexibility
- Stable PAT with positive quarterly profit variance
- FII and DII holdings increased, indicating institutional confidence
- Strong positioning in mobile ad-tech and consumer analytics
โ ๏ธ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E ratio (232) vs industry average (33.1)
- PEG ratio of 8.62 signals overvaluation relative to growth
- Low ROE (6.39%) and ROCE (8.64%) reflect modest profitability
- Dividend yield is 0%, limiting income appeal
๐ Company Negative News
- MACD at -19.9 and RSI at 48.8 suggest weak momentum
- Volume below 1-week average, indicating reduced investor activity
๐ Company Positive News
- Continued growth in mobile ad spend and digital engagement
- Expansion into international markets and new verticals
๐ฆ Industry
- Digital advertising industry benefits from rising mobile usage and e-commerce growth
- Industry PE of 33.1 reflects moderate optimism
- AI and data-driven targeting are reshaping consumer engagement strategies
๐งพ Conclusion
Affle is a niche digital advertising player with strong strategic positioning but currently overvalued. Long-term prospects remain promising, especially with global expansion and platform innovation. Consider accumulating below โน1,750 for better margin of safety. Monitor earnings growth, platform efficiency, and competitive dynamics.
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