AFCONS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Entry Zone: ₹435–₹445 (only if RSI > 48 and MACD flattens)

Exit if held: ₹470–₹485 (near short-term resistance and volume pivot zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹445
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹570 / ₹382
• 📉 RSI: 46.2 (neutral)
• 📉 MACD: -0.32 (bearish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 8.26L vs 1W Avg 4.76L (above average)
• 📉 FII Holding Change: -2.99%
• 📈 DII Holding Change: +3.41%
• 📈 Qtr Profit Var: +31.0% YoY
• 📈 P/E: 26.5 vs Industry 22.2 (slightly premium)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 0.86 (undervalued growth)

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 22.5% and 14.9% — strong capital efficiency.
• 📈 EPS: ₹17.1 — solid earnings base.
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 0.86 — attractive valuation for growth.
• 📈 DII Accumulation: Domestic institutions increased stake significantly.
• 📈 Volume Spike: Indicates renewed interest near support zone.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 MACD Negative: Indicates weak momentum.
• 📉 RSI < 48: No confirmation of bullish strength yet.
• 📉 FII Exit: Foreign investors trimmed stake.
• 📉 Below DMA 50 & 200: Price hovering near moving average — no clear breakout.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sequential PAT Dip: ₹136 Cr vs ₹175 Cr QoQ — margin compression in overseas projects.
• 📉 FII Sentiment: Reduced exposure amid sector rotation and valuation concerns.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Brokerage Ratings: Jefferies and Nomura issued ‘Buy’ calls with targets of ₹580–₹630, citing strong order book and global reach.
• 📈 Order Book: ₹35,000 Cr+ across metro, marine, and tunneling projects — high visibility.
• 📦 Global Diversification: Active projects in Africa, Middle East, and Southeast Asia.
• 📈 Technical Trend: Shifted from mildly bearish to mildly bullish outlook.

🏗️ Industry

• 📈 Infra Push: Government capex in rail, metro, and ports driving EPC demand.
• 📉 Execution Risk: Overseas projects face currency and regulatory challenges.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Technically viable for swing trade if RSI > 48 and MACD flattens with volume confirmation.
• 📥 Entry near ₹435–₹445 with alert logic and tight stop-loss.
• 📤 Exit near ₹470–₹485 (resistance and volume pivot zone).
• 📈 Strong fundamentals, improving technicals — suitable for tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

CNBC TV18 – Analyst Targets

MarketsMojo – Technical Outlook

Financial Express – Jefferies Bullish Call