AEGISLOG - Investment Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Investment Rating: 3.9

📊 Fundamental Analysis Summary

Aegis Logistics (AEGISLOG) is a moderately strong candidate for long-term investment, especially for investors seeking exposure to the energy logistics and storage sector. It combines decent profitability, reasonable debt levels, and strong recent earnings growth. However, valuation is slightly stretched, and technical indicators suggest short-term weakness.

Metric Value Interpretation

Market Cap ₹25,454 Cr Mid-to-large cap — stable and scalable

Stock P/E 38.4 Fairly valued relative to industry PE — neutral

PEG Ratio 1.69 Slightly overvalued — acceptable for growth stock

ROE / ROCE 15.5% / 13.2% Solid capital efficiency — supports long-term potential

Dividend Yield 1.00% Modest — adds income stability

Debt-to-Equity 0.99 Manageable — typical for infrastructure/logistics

EPS ₹18.9 Strong earnings — supports valuation

Book Value ₹132 Price-to-book ~5.5× — premium valuation

PAT Growth (QoQ) +43.5% Excellent — strong earnings momentum

RSI / MACD 36.4 / -11.3 RSI near oversold; MACD negative — weak short-term sentiment

FII/DII Holding Change -1.27% / +0.09% FII selling — sentiment risk; DII neutral

52W Price Range ₹610 – ₹1,037 Currently near lower end — technical support zone

📉 Valuation & Entry Price Zone

PEG ratio above 1.5 suggests moderate overvaluation, but strong PAT growth and sector stability justify a premium.

Ideal Entry Zone: ₹680 – ₹710

This range is near technical support and offers a better margin of safety.

Accumulate gradually if RSI remains below 40 and MACD begins to flatten.

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Holding Strategy

Time Horizon: 2–4 years — suitable for compounding via earnings and dividends.

Exit Strategy: Consider partial exit if price exceeds ₹850–₹900 without corresponding EPS or ROCE improvement.

Monitor: PEG ratio, PAT trend, and ROCE sustainability.

Key Triggers to Watch

PAT consistently above ₹250 Cr per quarter

ROCE improving to 15%+

PEG ratio falling below 1.5 (ideal for fresh accumulation)

🧠 Final Thoughts

Aegis Logistics offers a balanced long-term investment case with solid fundamentals and sectoral tailwinds. While valuation is slightly rich, strong earnings growth and manageable debt make it a worthy candidate for patient investors.

Would you like a peer comparison with other logistics or energy infrastructure players like Allcargo or Gujarat Pipavav Port to explore alternatives?

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