ADANIGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.4
| Stock Code | ADANIGREEN | Market Cap | 1,57,148 Cr. | Current Price | 954 ₹ | High / Low | 1,179 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 213 | Book Value | 89.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 8.87 % |
| ROE | 9.41 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 951 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,024 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.13 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.33 % | PAT Qtr | 82.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 475 Cr. |
| RSI | 55.2 | MACD | -29.1 | Volume | 47,72,597 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 59,50,308 |
| Low price | 758 ₹ | High price | 1,179 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 1.91 | Debt to equity | 1.18 |
| 52w Index | 46.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -85.3 % | EPS | 4.11 ₹ | Industry PE | 26.2 |
📊 ADANIGREEN shows weak fundamentals for swing trading despite trading close to its 50 DMA (951 ₹). The valuation is extremely stretched with a P/E of 213 compared to industry PE of 26.2. Profitability ratios (ROCE 8.87%, ROE 9.41%) are modest, and quarterly PAT dropped sharply (-85.3%). Technical indicators are mixed: RSI at 55.2 is neutral, while MACD (-29.1) signals bearish momentum. Overall, it is a risky candidate for swing trading.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 940–955 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 1,150–1,170 ₹ resistance levels or if price falls below 930 ₹ support.
✅ Positive
- Stock trading near 50 DMA (951 ₹), showing short-term support.
- Institutional confidence with FII (+0.13%) and DII (+1.33%) holdings increasing.
- PEG ratio (1.91) indicates some growth potential relative to valuation.
- Large market cap (1,57,148 Cr.) provides stability.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E ratio (213) compared to industry PE (26.2), making valuation unattractive.
- Dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income support.
- MACD (-29.1) indicates bearish momentum.
- Stock trading below 200 DMA (1,024 ₹), showing medium-term weakness.
- Debt-to-equity ratio (1.18) is relatively high, adding financial risk.
📉 Company Negative News
- Quarterly PAT collapsed from 475 Cr. to 82 Cr. (-85.3%), raising concerns about earnings sustainability.
- EPS remains low at 4.11 ₹ despite high valuation.
- Trading volume lower than average (47,72,597 vs 59,50,308), showing reduced liquidity.
📈 Company Positive News
- Both FII and DII holdings increased, reflecting institutional support.
- Stock trading at mid-range of 52-week index (46.6%), leaving room for upside.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 26.2, far lower than company’s 213, highlighting overvaluation.
- Renewable energy sector outlook remains strong, but company-specific earnings volatility is a concern.
🔎 Conclusion
ADANIGREEN is overvalued with weak profitability and bearish technical signals, making it a risky swing trade candidate. Entry near 940–955 ₹ is possible for short-term traders, but strict stop-loss below 930 ₹ is essential. For holders, exit near 1,150–1,170 ₹ resistance is advisable unless earnings momentum improves significantly.