ADANIGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Analysis for Adani Green Energy Ltd. 🌿 (ADANIGREEN)

📊 Swing Trade Rating

Rating: 3.3

Adani Green is flashing early signs of technical recovery, supported by volume and MACD crossover. However, sky-high valuation and hefty leverage make this swing setup moderately risky. It’s attractive—but not irresistible.

✅ Technical and Fundamental Positives

MACD (+3.88) & RSI (51.5): Indicates momentum is beginning to shift upward; RSI crossing 50 is encouraging

Price near 50-DMA (₹1,000): Can act as a springboard if momentum holds

Volume Spike (39.4L vs 29.4L avg): Sign of renewed interest in the counter

EPS ₹10.7 & PEG 1.59: Justifies valuation with underlying growth

Qtr Profit Surge (+54.1%): Solid operating performance

ROE (14.6%): Efficient equity deployment

DII Inflow (+0.46%): Domestic institutions showing quiet confidence

⚠️ Risk Flags

P/E (89.5) vs Industry PE (41.2): Extremely rich valuation—watch for reversal if sentiment shifts

Debt-to-Equity (6.59): Very high leverage—can magnify volatility and risk

FII Outflow (-0.87%): Signals foreign caution

No Dividend: Not supportive for hold-based swing positions

52w Index (19.3%): Underperforming relative to prior highs (₹2,092)

📌 Optimal Entry Price

Watch for an entry in the ₹990–₹1,015 zone if volume holds and RSI moves toward 55+. MACD strength should continue; otherwise avoid jumping in.

🧳 Exit Plan (If Already Holding)

Resistance Target 1: ₹1,070–₹1,085 (near short-term congestion)

Stretch Target: ₹1,130–₹1,150 if breakout is backed by fresh institutional buying

Stop Loss: ₹960—below recent support levels and psychological round number

🧠 Final Thought

ADANIGREEN has the ingredients for a swing breakout—but it’s a cautious recipe. If you already hold, aim for exits near ₹1,085 unless momentum accelerates. For new trades, wait for confirmation rather than chasing early signals.

If you're watching other clean energy plays like Tata Power or ReNew Energy, I can build a quick comparison table. Just say the word ⚡📈

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