ADANIGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

Entry Zone: ₹1,050–₹1,070 (on MACD confirmation and RSI > 55)

Exit if held: ₹1,140–₹1,180 (near resistance and 200 DMA breakout zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹1,086
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹1,734 / ₹758
• 📈 RSI: 55.3 (neutral to bullish)
• 📈 MACD: 19.9 (positive crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 33L vs 1W Avg 139L (significant drop)
• 📉 FII Holding Change: -0.29%
• 📈 DII Holding Change: +0.12%
• 📈 Qtr Profit Var: +309% (massive YoY jump)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 1.30 (reasonable for growth)
• 📉 P/E: 145 vs Industry 31 (valuation premium)

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong PAT Growth: ₹475 Cr vs ₹69 Cr QoQ — 6.8x jump.
• 📈 MACD Bullish: Positive crossover supports swing momentum.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Trend reversal confirmed.
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 1.30 — growth priced reasonably.
• 📈 EBITDA Margins: 92% in H1 FY26 — sector-leading efficiency

  scanx.trade

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⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E of 145 — nearly 5x industry average.
• 📉 Volume Weakness: Current volume far below 1W average — needs confirmation.
• 📉 FII Exit: Foreign investors trimmed stake slightly.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: 0.00% — no passive income support.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Contagion Risk: Fitch cited lingering concerns from 2024 US indictment involving group entity

  The Hans India

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• 📉 Grid Constraints: Khavda project facing temporary evacuation bottlenecks

  scanx.trade

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📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹644 Cr — up 28% YoY, beating estimates

  ET EnergyWorld

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• 📈 Capacity Expansion: Added 2.4 GW in H1 FY26; total now 16.7 GW

  scanx.trade

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• 📈 Revenue Growth: Power supply revenue up 26% YoY to ₹6,088 Cr

  scanx.trade

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• 📈 Cash Profit: ₹3,094 Cr in H1 FY26 — up 17% YoY

  scanx.trade

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🔋 Industry

• 📈 Renewable Surge: India targeting 500 GW non-fossil capacity by 2030.
• 📈 Policy Tailwinds: PLI schemes and green bond access boosting sector capex.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Technically favorable for swing trade with MACD, RSI, and DMA alignment.
• 📥 Entry near ₹1,050–₹1,070 on RSI > 55 and volume confirmation.
• 📤 Exit near ₹1,140–₹1,180 (resistance and 200 DMA breakout zone).
• ⚠️ Valuation stretched — suitable for short-term tactical trades with alert logic.

Sources

Fitch Ratings via The Hans India

The Hans India

ET EnergyWorld – Q2 Earnings

ET EnergyWorld

ScanX – H1 FY26 Performance

scanx.trade