ADANIGREEN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading above 50-DMA (₹966) but below 200-DMA (₹1,066), indicating short-term momentum but long-term resistance overhead.

RSI (57.1): Neutral-to-bullish zone—momentum is building but not yet strong.

MACD (5.43): Positive crossover—momentum confirmation is present.

Volume: Slightly above 1-week average, showing decent participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 186 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (31.2)

PEG Ratio 1.67 Expensive relative to growth—valuation caution

ROCE / ROE 8.87% / 9.41% Weak capital efficiency

Debt-to-Equity 2.47 High leverage—adds volatility and risk

PAT Growth (QoQ) -38.9% Significant decline—sentiment risk despite prior surge

FII/DII Change -0.87% / +0.46% FII outflow is a concern; DII inflow offers partial support

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with valuation and fundamental risks.

Catalyst: MACD strength + price support near 50-DMA + volume confirmation.

Risk: High valuation, declining earnings, and weak ROCE/ROE—requires tight stop-loss discipline.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹960–₹975

(Near 50-DMA support with stop-loss below ₹940)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹1,030–₹1,050 (Resistance zone near 200-DMA and prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹940 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a short-term tactical basket but doesn’t meet your margin-of-safety or ROCE thresholds. If you're refining your renewable energy segment, I can scan for low-PEG, high-efficiency peers with stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you’re ready.

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