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ADANIGREEN - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.4

Stock Code ADANIGREEN Market Cap 1,39,013 Cr. Current Price 844 ₹ High / Low 1,179 ₹
Stock P/E 188 Book Value 89.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 8.87 %
ROE 9.41 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 956 ₹ DMA 200 1,028 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.13 % Chg in DII Hold 1.33 % PAT Qtr 82.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 475 Cr.
RSI 32.2 MACD -49.9 Volume 39,14,290 Avg Vol 1Wk 69,88,886
Low price 758 ₹ High price 1,179 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.69 Debt to equity 1.18
52w Index 20.4 % Qtr Profit Var -85.3 % EPS 4.11 ₹ Industry PE 25.6

📈 Technical Chart Analysis

  • Moving Averages: Current price (844 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (956 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,028 ₹), confirming bearish momentum.
  • RSI: At 32.2, the stock is oversold, suggesting potential rebound opportunities.
  • MACD: Negative (-49.9), showing bearish crossover and weak momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (39,14,290) is lower than 1-week average (69,88,886), showing reduced participation and weak conviction.

📊 Momentum & Trend Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Bearish bias due to negative MACD and weak volume.
  • Support Zone: 758–780 ₹ (recent low and strong base).
  • Resistance Zone: 950–1,000 ₹ (near 50 DMA and psychological round level).
  • Optimal Entry: Around 800–830 ₹ if RSI remains oversold and support holds.
  • Optimal Exit: 950–1,000 ₹ if price rebounds to moving averages.
  • Trend Status: Currently consolidating with bearish undertone; reversal possible if RSI triggers bounce and volume improves.

✅ Positive

  • DII holding increased significantly (+1.33%), showing strong domestic institutional confidence.
  • FII holding also increased (+0.13%), reflecting foreign investor interest.
  • Strong 52-week performance (+20.4%) shows resilience despite recent correction.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (188) compared to industry average (25.6), suggesting overvaluation.
  • Weak ROCE (8.87%) and ROE (9.41%) highlight poor capital efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.18 is high, adding financial risk.
  • Dividend yield is 0%, offering no passive income to investors.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation (-85.3%) indicates sharp earnings decline.
  • PAT dropped from 475 Cr. to 82 Cr., showing significant volatility.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Institutional investors (both FII and DII) increased holdings, signaling confidence.
  • EPS at 4.11 ₹ remains stable despite earnings volatility.

🏭 Industry

  • Renewable energy sector is growing rapidly, supported by government initiatives.
  • Industry P/E at 25.6 suggests sector is moderately valued; Adani Green trades at a steep premium.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Adani Green shows strong investor interest but weak fundamentals and high valuation risks.
  • Technically, the stock is consolidating near support with oversold RSI, suggesting possible short-term rebound.
  • Entry near 800–830 ₹ is favorable for short-term traders, with exit near 950–1,000 ₹.
  • Short-term outlook: cautious trading; long-term outlook requires improvement in ROCE/ROE and earnings stability.

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