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ADANIGREEN - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.6

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:56 am

Technical Rating: 2.6

Stock Code ADANIGREEN Market Cap 2,02,133 Cr. Current Price 1,227 ₹ High / Low 1,272 ₹
Stock P/E 251 Book Value 90.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 5.94 %
ROE 6.98 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,029 ₹ DMA 200 1,011 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.32 % Chg in DII Hold 0.25 % PAT Qtr 178 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 82.0 Cr.
RSI 76.2 MACD 86.7 Volume 33,52,380 Avg Vol 1Wk 47,20,873
Low price 765 ₹ High price 1,272 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.48 Debt to equity 1.51
52w Index 91.2 % Qtr Profit Var 58.1 % EPS 3.67 ₹ Industry PE 31.0

📈 Chart Patterns & Trend: ADANIGREEN is trading well above both 50 DMA (₹1,029) and 200 DMA (₹1,011), confirming strong momentum. RSI at 76.2 indicates overbought conditions, while MACD at 86.7 confirms bullish divergence. Bollinger Bands suggest volatility expansion with price near its 52-week high (₹1,272), signaling stretched momentum. Price action remains closer to highs, reflecting strength but also risk of pullback.

🔑 Momentum Signals: RSI above 70 signals overbought territory. MACD positive supports bullish bias. Volume (33.5L) is below average (47.2L), showing reduced participation, which weakens breakout conviction. Trendlines highlight support near ₹1,180–₹1,200 and resistance near ₹1,260–₹1,270.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1,180 – ₹1,200 (support levels)

💰 Exit Zone: ₹1,260 – ₹1,270 (resistance levels)

📊 Status: Trending upward but overbought; consolidation or pullback likely unless earnings growth sustains and volumes improve.

Positive

  • Quarterly PAT growth (+58.1%) shows earnings resilience
  • EPS at ₹3.67 reflects profitability
  • Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
  • DII holdings increased (+0.25%), showing domestic investor confidence

Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (251) vs industry average (31.0)
  • Weak ROE (6.98%) and ROCE (5.94%)
  • PEG ratio at 3.48 indicates expensive growth pricing
  • Dividend yield at 0.00% offers no income support
  • Volume below average, limiting breakout strength

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings declined (-0.32%)
  • Valuation concerns due to stretched multiples

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit improved (₹178 Cr vs ₹82 Cr)
  • Strong trading momentum supported by MACD and RSI

Industry

  • Industry PE at 31.0 highlights sector stability
  • ADANIGREEN trading at a steep premium compared to peers

Conclusion

⚠️ ADANIGREEN is trending upward with strong technical momentum supported by earnings growth and MACD. However, valuations are extremely stretched and efficiency metrics remain weak. Best suited for tactical trades near ₹1,180–₹1,200 with profit-taking around ₹1,260–₹1,270. Long-term investors should be cautious given overvaluation, weak ROE/ROCE, and declining foreign investor interest.

Would you like me to add a renewable energy peer overlay (Adani Green vs Tata Power, JSW Energy, and NTPC) so you can see relative valuation and momentum gaps across the sector?

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