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ADANIGREEN - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:55 pm

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code ADANIGREEN Market Cap 1,46,680 Cr. Current Price 891 ₹ High / Low 1,179 ₹
Stock P/E 199 Book Value 89.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 8.87 %
ROE 9.41 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 928 ₹ DMA 200 1,000 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.13 % Chg in DII Hold 1.33 % PAT Qtr 82.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 475 Cr.
RSI 46.4 MACD -22.0 Volume 25,65,619 Avg Vol 1Wk 43,65,314
Low price 765 ₹ High price 1,179 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.78 Debt to equity 1.18
52w Index 30.4 % Qtr Profit Var -85.3 % EPS 4.11 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📉 Chart & Trend: Current price (891 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (928 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,000 ₹), confirming short-term weakness and bearish bias.

📊 RSI: At 46.4, RSI is neutral but leaning bearish, showing limited buying strength.

📉 MACD: Negative (-22.0), indicating bearish crossover and weak short-term momentum.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, suggesting consolidation without strong breakout signals.

📉 Volume: Current volume (25,65,619) is below 1-week average (43,65,314), showing reduced participation and lack of accumulation.

📍 Support Levels: 870 ₹ (near-term), 820 ₹ (major support), 765 ₹ (long-term support).

📍 Resistance Levels: 930 ₹ (near-term), 1,000 ₹ (major resistance), 1,179 ₹ (52-week high).

🔎 Momentum Signal: Weak short-term momentum with bearish bias.

📌 Trend Status: Consolidating with risk of reversal if support breaks.


Positive

  • DII holding increased (+1.33%), reflecting strong domestic institutional support.
  • EPS of 4.11 ₹ shows earnings consistency despite volatility.
  • PEG ratio (1.78) indicates reasonable valuation relative to growth.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • Dividend yield is 0.00%, offering no income support.
  • High P/E (199) compared to industry average (30.0), indicating extreme overvaluation.
  • ROCE (8.87%) and ROE (9.41%) are weak compared to peers.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit dropped sharply from 475 Cr. to 82 Cr. (-85.3%).
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (1.18) raises leverage concerns.

Company Positive News

  • Sequential PAT growth from 101 Cr. to 114 Cr. in prior quarters shows operational improvement trend before recent decline.
  • FII holding increased slightly (+0.13%), reflecting foreign investor support.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 30.0 is much lower than company’s P/E (199), highlighting premium pricing risk.
  • Renewable energy sector remains in growth phase, supported by policy and demand tailwinds.

Conclusion

⚠️ ADANIGREEN is consolidating with weak short-term signals (negative MACD, neutral RSI, below DMA). Entry is favorable near 870–890 ₹ with strict stop-loss at 820 ₹. Exit zones lie around 930–1,000 ₹, with breakout potential toward 1,179 ₹ if momentum strengthens. Fundamentals show institutional support, but sharp profit decline, high debt, and extreme valuation raise caution. Traders should wait for confirmation signals; long-term investors may accumulate gradually only if earnings stabilize and leverage reduces.

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