ABREL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | ABREL | Market Cap | 14,455 Cr. | Current Price | 1,292 ₹ | High / Low | 2,468 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 94.6 | Book Value | 420 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.16 % | ROCE | 3.72 % |
| ROE | 3.37 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,296 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,500 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.08 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.50 % | PAT Qtr | 68.6 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 31.4 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.5 | MACD | -10.2 | Volume | 4,05,102 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,76,893 |
| Low price | 1,080 ₹ | High price | 2,468 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -5.34 | Debt to equity | 0.89 |
| 52w Index | 15.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | 3.77 % | EPS | 31.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.0 |
Aditya Birla Renewable Energy Limited (ABREL) shows weak potential for swing trading. Technical indicators (RSI 50.5, MACD negative, price below 200DMA) suggest neutral-to-bearish momentum. Fundamentals are concerning: very high P/E (94.6 vs industry 27.0), weak ROCE (3.72%) and ROE (3.37%), and negative PEG ratio (-5.34). The optimal entry price is near 1,080–1,100 ₹ (support zone). If already holding, consider exiting near 1,300–1,320 ₹, close to 50DMA resistance, unless momentum improves.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Quarterly PAT improved (68.6 Cr vs 31.4 Cr).
- 💹 Price close to 50DMA (1,296 ₹), offering potential rebound zone.
- 📊 EPS at 31.5 ₹, reflecting profitability despite weak efficiency.
- 💰 Moderate debt-to-equity ratio (0.89), manageable compared to peers.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Price trading below 200DMA (1,500 ₹), showing medium-term weakness.
- 📊 High P/E (94.6) compared to industry average (27.0).
- 📉 Weak ROCE (3.72%) and ROE (3.37%), showing poor efficiency.
- 📊 Negative PEG ratio (-5.34), suggesting unsustainable valuation.
- 📉 Dividend yield at 0.16%, limiting income potential.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in DII holding (-0.50%), reflecting reduced domestic institutional confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT growth of 3.77%, showing marginal improvement.
- 📊 Increase in FII holding (+0.08%), showing foreign investor support.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 27.0, much lower than ABREL’s 94.6, highlighting severe overvaluation.
- 📈 Renewable energy sector showing demand growth but profitability remains volatile.
📌 Conclusion
ABREL is technically weak and fundamentally overvalued with poor efficiency metrics. It is a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near support (1,080–1,100 ₹) and exit near resistance (1,300–1,320 ₹) is advisable for short-term traders. Long-term investors should be cautious until efficiency improves and valuations normalize.
Would you like me to extend this with a renewable energy sector outlook or a peer comparison to refine the swing trade view?