ABREL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading below both 50-DMA (₹1,919) and 200-DMA (₹2,071), indicating a weak trend and no bullish confirmation.

RSI (56.6): Neutral zone—momentum is building but not strong enough to justify entry.

MACD (-5.28): Bearish crossover—momentum is fading.

Volume: Below 1-week average, suggesting weak participation and lack of conviction.

📉 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 150 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (16.2)

PEG Ratio -22.5 Negative—valuation not supported by growth

ROCE / ROE 4.25% / 3.84% Weak capital efficiency

Debt-to-Equity 0.87 Moderate leverage—acceptable but not ideal

PAT Growth (QoQ) -58.4% Sharp decline—sentiment risk despite YoY improvement

FII/DII Change -0.17% / +0.88% Mild DII support, but FII trimming signals caution

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Bearish-to-neutral setup with poor fundamentals and weak technical triggers.

Catalyst: None visible—MACD, RSI, and volume all lack strength.

Risk: High valuation, negative PEG, and declining earnings make this unsuitable for tactical swing.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Avoid Fresh Entry: No confirmation signals. Wait for MACD reversal and RSI > 60 with volume > 2L.

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹1,950–₹1,980 (Resistance near 50-DMA)

Stop-Loss: ₹1,860 (Below recent support and MACD base)

Selva, this setup doesn’t align with your margin-of-safety or confirmation logic. If you're refining your renewable energy basket, I can scan for low-PEG, high-ROCE peers with stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you’re ready.

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