ABREL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 2.2
| Stock Code | ABREL | Market Cap | 13,732 Cr. | Current Price | 1,223 ₹ | High / Low | 2,538 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 92.2 | Book Value | 401 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.16 % | ROCE | 4.25 % |
| ROE | 3.84 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,525 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,797 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.15 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.47 % | PAT Qtr | 31.4 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 24.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 25.0 | MACD | -114 | Volume | 4,45,122 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 4,02,606 |
| Low price | 1,185 ₹ | High price | 2,538 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -13.9 | Debt to equity | 0.89 |
| 52w Index | 2.83 % | Qtr Profit Var | 25.1 % | EPS | 8.04 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.8 |
📊 ABREL shows weak fundamentals and technicals for swing trading. The stock is trading well below both 50 DMA (1,525 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,797 ₹), indicating bearish momentum. RSI at 25.0 suggests oversold conditions, but MACD (-114) confirms strong downward pressure. Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 92.2 compared to industry PE of 18.8, while profitability ratios (ROCE 4.25%, ROE 3.84%) are poor. Debt-to-equity ratio (0.89) is moderate, but earnings volatility and low institutional confidence weigh heavily. Overall, it is a weak candidate for swing trading.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,190–1,210 ₹ (near support zone above 1,185 ₹).
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 1,300–1,350 ₹ short-term resistance or if price falls below 1,185 ₹ support.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT improved from 24.0 Cr. to 31.4 Cr. (+25.1%).
- DII holdings increased (+0.47%), showing some domestic support.
- Book value of 401 ₹ provides a cushion compared to current price.
- RSI at 25.0 indicates oversold conditions, which could trigger a short-term bounce.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak technical strength.
- Extremely high P/E ratio (92.2) compared to industry PE (18.8).
- Low ROCE (4.25%) and ROE (3.84%) reflect poor profitability.
- PEG ratio (-13.9) highlights negative growth prospects.
- Dividend yield is negligible (0.16%), offering little income support.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.15%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading near bottom of 52-week index (2.83%), reflecting severe underperformance.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth (+25.1%) indicates short-term improvement.
- DII inflows (+0.47%) provide some domestic institutional support.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 18.8, far lower than company’s 92.2, highlighting overvaluation.
- Sector outlook remains stable, but company-specific profitability is weak.
🔎 Conclusion
ABREL is overvalued with weak profitability and bearish technical signals, making it a poor swing trade candidate. Entry near 1,190–1,210 ₹ is possible for speculative traders, but strict stop-loss below 1,185 ₹ is essential. For holders, exit near 1,300–1,350 ₹ resistance is advisable unless earnings momentum improves significantly.