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ABREL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.6

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 2.6

Stock Code ABREL Market Cap 13,430 Cr. Current Price 1,202 ₹ High / Low 2,538 ₹
Stock P/E 90.2 Book Value 401 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.16 % ROCE 4.25 %
ROE 3.84 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 1,564 ₹ DMA 200 1,814 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.15 % Chg in DII Hold 0.47 % PAT Qtr 31.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 24.0 Cr.
RSI 18.6 MACD -113 Volume 1,54,879 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,42,202
Low price 1,185 ₹ High price 2,538 ₹ PEG Ratio -13.6 Debt to equity 0.89
52w Index 1.28 % Qtr Profit Var 25.1 % EPS 8.04 ₹ Industry PE 17.7

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Current price (1,202 ₹) is trading well below both 50 DMA (1,564 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,814 ₹), confirming strong bearish momentum.
  • RSI (18.6): Deeply oversold, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but overall weakness.
  • MACD (-113): Strong negative crossover, confirming bearish trend continuation.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, indicating oversold conditions but risk of further breakdown.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (1.55L) is below 1-week average (2.42L), reflecting weak participation and lack of strong buying interest.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Trend: Bearish reversal.
  • Support Zones: 1,185 ₹ (recent low), 1,150 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 1,564 ₹ (50 DMA), 1,814 ₹ (200 DMA), 2,000 ₹ (psychological resistance).
  • Entry Zone: 1,180–1,200 ₹ only for short-term traders looking for oversold bounce.
  • Exit Zone: 1,500–1,550 ₹ unless strong reversal above 1,564 ₹ occurs.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved to 31.4 Cr. from 24.0 Cr. (+25.1%).
  • DII holding increased (+0.47%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • EPS of 8.04 ₹ provides some earnings visibility.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading far below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish technical setup.
  • High P/E (90.2) compared to industry average (17.7), suggesting overvaluation.
  • ROCE (4.25%) and ROE (3.84%) are weak, indicating poor efficiency.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (–0.15%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • PEG ratio (–13.6) indicates poor earnings growth relative to valuation.
  • Weak 52-week performance (Index 1.28%), reflecting poor relative strength.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth highlights operational improvement.
  • DII support increased (+0.47%), balancing FII outflows.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 17.7 is much lower, highlighting ABREL’s premium valuation.
  • Renewable energy sector benefits from government incentives and long-term demand growth, though near-term margins remain pressured.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Stock is in a bearish reversal phase.
  • RSI oversold and MACD strongly negative suggest caution; only short-term bounce possible.
  • Best strategy: Accumulate cautiously near 1,180–1,200 ₹ with strict stop-loss below 1,150 ₹.
  • Upside limited to 1,500–1,550 ₹ unless strong reversal

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