ABLBL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | ABLBL | Market Cap | 11,868 Cr. | Current Price | 97.2 ₹ | High / Low | 176 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 69.3 | Book Value | 11.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 13.9 % |
| ROE | 12.8 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 102 ₹ | DMA 200 | 116 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -3.47 % | Chg in DII Hold | 3.19 % | PAT Qtr | 30.1 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 97.3 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.6 | MACD | -1.16 | Volume | 13,99,411 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 11,26,639 |
| Low price | 87.7 ₹ | High price | 176 ₹ | Debt to equity | 2.08 | 52w Index | 10.7 % |
| Qtr Profit Var | -29.7 % | EPS | 1.10 ₹ | Industry PE | 52.5 |
Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABLBL) shows weak potential for swing trading. Technical indicators (RSI 42.6, MACD negative, price below 50DMA and 200DMA) suggest bearish momentum. Fundamentals are mixed: moderate ROE (12.8%) and ROCE (13.9%), but high P/E (69.3 vs industry 52.5), high debt-to-equity (2.08), and sharp profit decline (-29.7%) raise caution. The optimal entry price is near 90–92 ₹ (support zone). If already holding, consider exiting near 100–102 ₹ (50DMA resistance) unless a clear recovery emerges.
✅ Positive
- 📈 ROE (12.8%) and ROCE (13.9%) show moderate efficiency.
- 💹 Increase in DII holding (+3.19%), showing domestic institutional support.
- 📊 EPS at 1.10 ₹, reflecting profitability despite valuation concerns.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Price trading below 50DMA (102 ₹) and 200DMA (116 ₹), showing weakness.
- 📊 High P/E (69.3) compared to industry average (52.5).
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 2.08, raising financial risk.
- 📊 EPS relatively low compared to valuation multiples.
- 📉 Dividend yield at 0.00%, limiting income potential.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped sharply (30.1 Cr vs 97.3 Cr, -29.7%).
- 📉 Decline in FII holding (-3.47%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📊 Increase in DII holding (+3.19%), boosting investor sentiment.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE at 52.5, lower than ABLBL’s 69.3, highlighting overvaluation.
- 📈 Financial services sector showing steady demand, though profitability remains cyclical and leverage is a concern.
📌 Conclusion
ABLBL is technically weak and fundamentally overvalued with declining profits and high debt. It is a risky candidate for swing trading. Entry near support (90–92 ₹) and exit near resistance (100–102 ₹) is advisable for short-term traders. Long-term investors should be cautious until profitability stabilizes and institutional confidence improves.
Would you like me to extend this with a financial services sector outlook or a peer comparison to refine the swing trade view?