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ABLBL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.7

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 2.7

Stock Code ABLBL Market Cap 12,754 Cr. Current Price 104 ₹ High / Low 176 ₹
Stock P/E 107 Book Value 10.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE %
ROE 10.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 120 ₹ DMA 200 137 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -5.34 % Chg in DII Hold 5.57 % PAT Qtr 22.6 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 21.4 Cr.
RSI 26.1 MACD -5.69 Volume 4,33,144 Avg Vol 1Wk 19,34,615
Low price 101 ₹ High price 176 ₹ Debt to equity 2.56 52w Index 4.84 %
Qtr Profit Var -46.0 % EPS Industry PE 43.7

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Current price (104 ₹) is trading below both 50 DMA (120 ₹) and 200 DMA (137 ₹), confirming bearish momentum and weak technical structure.
  • RSI (26.1): Deep in oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but overall weakness.
  • MACD (-5.69): Negative crossover indicates continuation of bearish trend.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, showing oversold conditions but risk of further breakdown.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (4.3L) is far below 1-week average (19.3L), reflecting weak participation and lack of strong buying interest.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Trend: Bearish reversal.
  • Support Zones: 101 ₹ (recent low), 95 ₹ (major support).
  • Resistance Zones: 120 ₹ (50 DMA), 137 ₹ (200 DMA), 150 ₹ (psychological resistance).
  • Entry Zone: 100–105 ₹ only for short-term traders looking for oversold bounce.
  • Exit Zone: 115–120 ₹ unless strong reversal above 137 ₹ occurs.

✅ Positive

  • DII holding increased (+5.57%), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly PAT improved slightly (22.6 Cr. vs 21.4 Cr.).
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 2.56 is manageable compared to sector peers.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish technical setup.
  • Extremely high P/E (107) compared to industry average (43.7), suggesting overvaluation.
  • EPS not meaningful, limiting valuation clarity.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (–5.34%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variation (–46%) highlights earnings volatility.
  • Weak 52-week performance (Index 4.84%), reflecting poor relative strength.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII support increased significantly (+5.57%), balancing FII outflows.
  • Stock remains above recent low (101 ₹), showing resilience despite weak momentum.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 43.7 is lower, highlighting ABLBL’s premium valuation.
  • Sector benefits from infrastructure and industrial demand but faces margin pressures.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Stock is in a bearish reversal phase.
  • RSI oversold and MACD negative suggest caution; only short-term bounce possible.
  • Best strategy: Accumulate cautiously near 100–105 ₹ with strict stop-loss below 101 ₹.
  • Upside limited to 115–120 ₹ unless strong reversal above 137 ₹ occurs.

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