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TVSMOTOR - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 24 May 26, 10:34 pm

Technical Rating: 3.3

Stock Code TVSMOTOR Market Cap 1,62,373 Cr. Current Price 3,418 ₹ High / Low 3,970 ₹
Stock P/E 44.5 Book Value 236 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.35 % ROCE 38.2 %
ROE 34.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 3,556 ₹ DMA 200 3,451 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.53 % Chg in DII Hold 0.56 % PAT Qtr 998 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 969 Cr.
RSI 43.8 MACD -63.1 Volume 9,32,737 Avg Vol 1Wk 17,46,930
Low price 2,655 ₹ High price 3,970 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.26 Debt to equity 0.33
52w Index 58.0 % Qtr Profit Var 33.0 % EPS 76.1 ₹ Industry PE 27.3

📊 Chart Analysis: TVSMOTOR is trading at ₹3,418, below both the 50 DMA (₹3,556) and 200 DMA (₹3,451), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 43.8 suggests neutral-to-bearish momentum. MACD at -63.1 confirms negative momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, reflecting selling pressure. Current volume (9.3L) is significantly below the 1-week average (17.4L), showing reduced participation.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is bearish, with RSI showing limited strength and MACD confirming weakness. A rebound is possible only if support levels hold.

💹 Support & Resistance: Strong support lies near ₹3,300 and ₹2,655 (recent low). Immediate resistance is at ₹3,451 (200 DMA) and ₹3,556 (50 DMA). Optimal entry zone: ₹3,350–₹3,400. Exit zone: ₹3,500–₹3,550.

🔄 Trend Status: The stock is currently consolidating downward with potential reversal signs if support near ₹3,300 holds.


Positive

  • ✅ ROCE of 38.2% and ROE of 34.4% highlight strong efficiency.
  • ✅ EPS of ₹76.1 supports valuation strength.
  • ✅ PEG ratio of 1.26 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.
  • ✅ PAT improved sequentially from ₹969 Cr. to ₹998 Cr.
  • ✅ DII holdings increased by 0.56%, showing domestic investor confidence.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak technical strength.
  • ⚠️ High P/E of 44.5 compared to industry P/E of 27.3, suggesting premium valuation.
  • ⚠️ Dividend yield of 0.35% is modest.
  • ⚠️ Volume significantly below average, reflecting weak participation.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 FII holdings decreased by -0.53%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • 📉 Stock trading at only 58% of its 52-week index, reflecting underperformance relative to highs.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Quarterly profit growth of 33% highlights strong operational performance.
  • 📈 Domestic institutional investors increased holdings, signaling confidence.

Industry

  • 🏍️ Two-wheeler sector trading at industry P/E of 27.3, lower than TVSMOTOR’s P/E of 44.5, suggesting premium valuation.
  • 🏍️ Sector supported by rising demand for personal mobility and exports.

Conclusion

📌 TVSMOTOR is consolidating downward, trading below key moving averages with bearish MACD and weak RSI. Entry around ₹3,350–₹3,400 with exit near ₹3,500–₹3,550 offers a cautious rebound opportunity. Fundamentals show strong efficiency and profit growth, but high valuation multiples, weak participation, and foreign investor outflows are concerns. The stock may stabilize if support near ₹3,300 holds.

For broader context, you could explore a two-wheeler sector outlook or compare TVSMOTOR with peers through a valuation comparison.

Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis

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