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POLYCAB - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code POLYCAB Market Cap 1,02,671 Cr. Current Price 6,819 ₹ High / Low 7,948 ₹
Stock P/E 39.6 Book Value 697 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.51 % ROCE 29.7 %
ROE 21.4 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 7,319 ₹ DMA 200 7,029 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.86 % Chg in DII Hold -0.57 % PAT Qtr 618 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 675 Cr.
RSI 37.3 MACD -172 Volume 1,33,531 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,49,442
Low price 4,555 ₹ High price 7,948 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.22 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 66.7 % Qtr Profit Var 36.4 % EPS 172 ₹ Industry PE 17.9

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: POLYCAB is currently trading at 6,819 ₹, below its 50 DMA (7,319 ₹) and 200 DMA (7,029 ₹). This indicates short-term weakness but long-term support around 7,000 ₹. RSI at 37.3 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory. MACD at -172 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price leaning towards the lower band, signaling potential reversal if volume strengthens.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is weak due to declining volume (1,33,531 vs avg 3,49,442). However, RSI near oversold levels may trigger a bounce. FII inflows (+0.86%) provide some cushion against selling pressure.

🎯 Entry Zone: 6,600–6,750 ₹ (near support and oversold RSI)

🚪 Exit Zone: 7,300–7,500 ₹ (resistance near 50 DMA and upper trendline)

📌 Trend Status: Consolidation with bearish bias, but reversal possible if RSI stabilizes and volume improves.


Positive

  • Strong fundamentals: ROCE 29.7%, ROE 21.4%, Debt-to-equity 0.01.
  • EPS of 172 ₹ with PEG ratio 1.22 indicates reasonable growth valuation.
  • FII holdings increased, showing institutional confidence.

Limitation

  • High P/E of 39.6 compared to industry PE of 17.9.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.
  • Volume trend declining, reducing breakout probability.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined from 675 Cr. to 618 Cr.
  • DII holdings reduced (-0.57%), showing domestic caution.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation +36.4% YoY indicates strong growth momentum.
  • Market cap above 1 lakh Cr. reflects strong industry positioning.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.9 shows sector is relatively undervalued compared to POLYCAB.
  • Electrical and cable sector benefiting from infrastructure and housing demand.

Conclusion

⚖️ POLYCAB is in consolidation with bearish bias but nearing oversold RSI levels. Entry near 6,600–6,750 ₹ offers margin of safety, while exits around 7,300–7,500 ₹ align with resistance. Long-term fundamentals remain strong, but short-term caution is advised until volume confirms reversal.

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