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KEI - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code KEI Market Cap 38,055 Cr. Current Price 3,974 ₹ High / Low 4,588 ₹
Stock P/E 44.2 Book Value 647 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.11 % ROCE 21.3 %
ROE 15.6 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 4,165 ₹ DMA 200 4,002 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.33 % Chg in DII Hold 0.56 % PAT Qtr 235 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 204 Cr.
RSI 40.1 MACD -100 Volume 1,59,374 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,21,253
Low price 2,424 ₹ High price 4,588 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.94 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 71.6 % Qtr Profit Var 42.5 % EPS 90.0 ₹ Industry PE 17.9

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: The stock is trading at ₹3,974, below both its 50 DMA (₹4,165) and 200 DMA (₹4,002), reflecting mild bearish pressure. Price action suggests consolidation near support zones around ₹3,950–₹3,970.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price is below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming weak momentum. A breakout above ₹4,165 would be the first bullish signal, while sustaining above ₹4,200–₹4,250 would confirm reversal.

📉 RSI: At 40.1, RSI is in the lower neutral zone, indicating weak momentum but not oversold. A move above 50 would signal strength.

📉 MACD: Deeply negative at -100, showing strong bearish momentum. Trend remains weak unless MACD narrows toward zero.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, suggesting limited downside and potential mean reversion toward ₹4,100–₹4,200.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (1.59 Lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (3.21 Lakh), showing reduced participation and lack of strong breakout signals.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹3,900–₹3,975 (near support and lower Bollinger band).

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹4,150–₹4,250 (near 50 DMA and resistance zone).

📌 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias. A reversal may occur if price sustains above ₹4,165–₹4,200.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (21.3%) and ROE (15.6%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.04) ensures financial stability.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to ₹235 Cr from ₹204 Cr, showing earnings growth.
  • EPS at ₹90.0 is robust compared to peers.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (44.2) is significantly higher than industry PE (17.9), indicating overvaluation.
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms weak momentum.
  • PEG ratio (1.94) suggests valuation is stretched relative to growth.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.33%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Dividend yield is very low (0.11%), offering minimal income return.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.56%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit growth (+42.5%) indicates strong operational performance.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.9 is much lower than the stock’s P/E, suggesting sector trades at more reasonable valuations.
  • Despite premium valuation, KEI shows strong growth potential supported by earnings momentum.

Conclusion

⚖️ KEI is consolidating near support levels with weak momentum indicators (RSI and MACD). Entry near ₹3,900–₹3,975 offers favorable risk-reward, while exits around ₹4,150–₹4,250 align with resistance. Sustained buying and a move above ₹4,165–₹4,200 would confirm reversal toward bullish momentum, while failure to hold support could extend bearish consolidation.

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