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BAJAJ-AUTO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.9

Stock Code BAJAJ-AUTO Market Cap 2,59,120 Cr. Current Price 9,267 ₹ High / Low 10,187 ₹
Stock P/E 28.2 Book Value 1,100 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.27 % ROCE 37.6 %
ROE 28.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 9,498 ₹ DMA 200 9,120 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.82 % Chg in DII Hold 1.29 % PAT Qtr 2,549 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,480 Cr.
RSI 44.1 MACD -145 Volume 2,51,912 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,92,418
Low price 7,088 ₹ High price 10,187 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.46 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 70.3 % Qtr Profit Var 20.9 % EPS 327 ₹ Industry PE 29.0

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis: BAJAJ-AUTO is trading below its 50 DMA (9,498 ₹) but above its 200 DMA (9,120 ₹), with the current price at 9,267 ₹. This indicates mild bearish bias in the short term but long-term support remains intact.

📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 44.1 shows weak momentum, leaning towards oversold territory. MACD at -145 confirms bearish crossover, signaling short-term weakness.

📉 Bollinger Bands & Volume: Price is near the lower band, suggesting potential support but also weakness. Current volume (2,51,912) is below weekly average (3,92,418), showing reduced participation and lack of strong buying interest.

🔑 Support & Resistance Zones:

- Support: 9,120 ₹ (200 DMA), 7,088 ₹ (major low)

- Resistance: 9,498 ₹ (50 DMA), 9,800–10,000 ₹ (trendline resistance), 10,187 ₹ (52-week high)

Optimal Entry: 9,150–9,250 ₹ (near support)

Optimal Exit: 9,500–9,800 ₹ (resistance zone)

📌 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias, showing weak momentum and indecision around moving averages.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (37.6%) and ROE (28.5%) indicate excellent capital efficiency.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00) ensures financial stability.
  • Dividend yield of 2.27% provides attractive shareholder returns.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to 2,549 Cr. from 2,480 Cr., showing earnings growth.

Limitation

  • RSI and MACD both show weak momentum, signaling short-term pressure.
  • Stock trading below 50 DMA, reflecting near-term weakness.
  • Valuation slightly stretched with P/E (28.2) close to industry average (29.0).

Company Negative News

  • FII holding decreased (-0.82%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock trading below 50 DMA, reflecting short-term weakness.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased (+1.29%), reflecting strong domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+20.9%) indicates strong earnings momentum.
  • EPS of 327 ₹ supports valuation strength.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 29.0 is slightly higher than BAJAJ-AUTO’s PE (28.2), suggesting fair valuation relative to peers.
  • Auto sector outlook remains favorable with rising demand in domestic and export markets, especially in two-wheelers and EV adoption.

Conclusion

⚖️ BAJAJ-AUTO is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below its 50 DMA but above its 200 DMA. Fundamentals remain strong with high ROE/ROCE, debt-free balance sheet, and attractive dividend yield, but weak momentum limits near-term upside. Traders may consider entry near 9,150–9,250 ₹ with exits around 9,500–9,800 ₹. Momentum confirmation is needed before aggressive positioning, as short-term signals remain weak despite strong fundamentals.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing BAJAJ-AUTO against other auto sector stocks (valuation, ROE/ROCE, momentum) so you can see relative strength before deciding entry?

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