ZFCVINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | ZFCVINDIA | Market Cap | 25,345 Cr. | Current Price | 13,386 ₹ | High / Low | 16,665 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 51.1 | Book Value | 1,794 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.14 % | ROCE | 20.2 % |
| ROE | 15.1 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 14,509 ₹ | DMA 200 | 13,973 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.42 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.43 % | PAT Qtr | 145 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 106 Cr. |
| RSI | 30.0 | MACD | -411 | Volume | 6,514 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 20,376 |
| Low price | 11,552 ₹ | High price | 16,665 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.99 | Debt to equity | 0.02 |
| 52w Index | 35.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 15.7 % | EPS | 259 ₹ | Industry PE | 23.7 |
📊 ZFCVINDIA shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 30.0 indicates oversold conditions, which could support a short-term rebound. However, the MACD is sharply negative (-411), and the stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (14,509 ₹) and 200 DMA (13,973 ₹), reflecting bearish momentum. Valuation is stretched (P/E 51.1 vs industry 23.7), though fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 20.2% and ROE at 15.1%. Quarterly profits improved (145 Cr. vs 106 Cr.), and institutional activity is mixed with FIIs reducing (-0.42%) and DIIs increasing (+0.43%). Overall, this is a cautious swing candidate with potential upside if momentum stabilizes.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 13,200–13,400 ₹ (near support zone above 11,552 ₹).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 14,400–14,600 ₹ (close to 50 DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (20.2%) and ROE (15.1%) show efficient capital use.
- Quarterly PAT improved (145 Cr. vs 106 Cr.).
- EPS at 259 ₹ supports valuation stability.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) ensures financial stability.
Limitation
- High valuation compared to peers (P/E 51.1 vs industry 23.7).
- Stock trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200, showing bearish technicals.
- Volumes below weekly average, reflecting reduced trader interest.
- Dividend yield is very low (0.14%).
Company Negative News
- FII holdings reduced (-0.42%), showing weaker foreign investor confidence.
- Weak 52-week performance (Index only 35.9%).
Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased (+0.43%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Quarterly profits improved steadily.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 23.7 is much lower than ZFCVINDIA’s, highlighting overvaluation.
- Sector remains stable with moderate growth outlook.
Conclusion
⚖️ ZFCVINDIA is fundamentally strong with improving profits and low debt, but technically weak and overvalued. While oversold RSI may trigger a short-term bounce, bearish signals and weak volumes make it risky. Entry near 13,200–13,400 ₹ with an exit around 14,400–14,600 ₹ is possible, but strict risk management is essential.