⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

WELCORP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

Stock Code WELCORP Market Cap 21,471 Cr. Current Price 814 ₹ High / Low 995 ₹
Stock P/E 28.4 Book Value 180 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.61 % ROCE 18.2 %
ROE 13.5 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 791 ₹ DMA 200 822 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.34 % Chg in DII Hold -0.34 % PAT Qtr 161 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 231 Cr.
RSI 60.5 MACD -4.73 Volume 4,43,392 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,12,667
Low price 664 ₹ High price 995 ₹ PEG Ratio 11.2 Debt to equity 0.21
52w Index 45.3 % Qtr Profit Var 3.28 % EPS 47.4 ₹ Industry PE 19.5

📊 WELCORP shows moderate potential for swing trading. Strong fundamentals and decent technical positioning support short-term opportunities, but declining profits and weak momentum indicators limit upside. Entry is favorable near support levels, while exits should be timed around resistance zones.

Positive ✅

  • ROCE (18.2%) and ROE (13.5%) reflect solid capital efficiency.
  • Dividend yield of 0.61% provides shareholder returns.
  • EPS of 47.4 ₹ supports earnings strength.
  • RSI at 60.5 indicates healthy momentum.
  • Stock trading close to both 50 DMA (791 ₹) and 200 DMA (822 ₹), showing technical stability.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 indicates manageable leverage.

Limitation ⚠️

  • P/E ratio (28.4) is higher than industry average (19.5), suggesting overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 11.2 indicates poor growth prospects relative to valuation.
  • MACD (-4.73) signals weak momentum despite RSI strength.
  • Trading volume lower than weekly average, reducing short-term momentum strength.

Company Negative News ❌

  • Quarterly PAT declined (161 Cr. vs 231 Cr.), showing earnings pressure.
  • Decline in both FII (-0.34%) and DII (-0.34%) holdings reflects reduced institutional confidence.

Company Positive News 🌟

  • Quarterly profit variation (+3.28%) shows some resilience despite decline in absolute PAT.
  • Strong 52-week performance (+45.3%) highlights investor confidence.

Industry 📈

  • Industry P/E at 19.5 is lower, highlighting sector stability compared to WELCORP’s valuation.
  • Steel and infrastructure sector demand remains cyclical but supported by government spending.

Conclusion 📝

WELCORP is moderately attractive for swing trading with stable fundamentals but weak technicals. Optimal entry would be near 790–800 ₹ support (close to DMA levels). For existing holders, consider exiting around 880–900 ₹ (near resistance), as upside is capped by valuation pressure and declining profits.

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