VTL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | VTL | Market Cap | 19,167 Cr. | Current Price | 661 ₹ | High / Low | 666 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 25.9 | Book Value | 352 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.76 % | ROCE | 9.04 % |
| ROE | 7.49 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 597 ₹ | DMA 200 | 522 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.03 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.33 % | PAT Qtr | 179 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 170 Cr. |
| RSI | 66.8 | MACD | 11.8 | Volume | 14,61,008 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 6,38,916 |
| Low price | 383 ₹ | High price | 666 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 24.4 | Debt to equity | 0.18 |
| 52w Index | 98.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -21.8 % | EPS | 25.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 25.5 |
📊 VTL shows moderate fundamentals with strong technical momentum but limited efficiency. The RSI at 66.8 indicates the stock is nearing overbought territory, while the MACD at 11.8 confirms bullish momentum. Current price (661 ₹) is above both the 50 DMA (597 ₹) and 200 DMA (522 ₹), reflecting strong upward momentum. However, ROCE (9.04%) and ROE (7.49%) are weak compared to peers, and the PEG ratio of 24.4 suggests growth is overpriced.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 640–650 ₹ (near support zone close to DMA levels).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 670–680 ₹ (recent high zone), or trail stop-loss below 630 ₹.
Positive
- ✅ EPS of 25.6 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- ✅ PAT growth from 170 Cr. to 179 Cr. shows earnings stability.
- ✅ Strong technical momentum: price above both 50DMA and 200DMA.
- ✅ High trading volume (14.6 lakh vs avg 6.3 lakh) indicates strong market participation.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Weak ROCE (9.04%) and ROE (7.49%) compared to industry standards.
- ⚠️ PEG ratio of 24.4 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
- ⚠️ FII (-0.03%) and DII (-0.33%) holdings declined, showing reduced institutional confidence.
- ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation (-21.8%) indicates earnings volatility.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in institutional holdings (FII and DII).
- 📉 Weak efficiency metrics (ROCE and ROE).
Company Positive News
- 📈 EPS of 25.6 ₹ and stable PAT growth support valuation.
- 📈 Strong technical breakout with price near 52-week high (98.4% index).
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 25.5 is aligned with VTL’s P/E (25.9), showing fair valuation relative to peers.
- 🏭 Sector demand outlook remains steady, supporting long-term fundamentals.
Conclusion
🔎 VTL is a moderate candidate for swing trading with strong technical momentum but weak efficiency and overvaluation risks. Entry near 640–650 ₹ offers a safer risk-reward setup. If already holding, exit near 670–680 ₹ or trail stop-loss below 630 ₹ to protect gains.
Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparison or a peer benchmarking analysis to evaluate how VTL stacks up against competitors?