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VENTIVE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:29 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code VENTIVE Market Cap 15,213 Cr. Current Price 651 ₹ High / Low 845 ₹
Stock P/E 66.0 Book Value 202 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 7.07 %
ROE 4.99 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 640 ₹ DMA 200 682 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.13 % Chg in DII Hold -0.07 % PAT Qtr 69.4 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 56.8 Cr.
RSI 55.2 MACD 3.59 Volume 22,476 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,17,426
Low price 542 ₹ High price 845 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.17 Debt to equity 0.18
52w Index 35.8 % Qtr Profit Var 21.4 % EPS 9.80 ₹ Industry PE 30.8

📊 VENTIVE shows weak fundamentals with modest profit growth but stretched valuations. The RSI at 55.2 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD at 3.59 suggests mild bullishness. Current price (651 ₹) is above the 50DMA (640 ₹) but below the 200DMA (682 ₹), reflecting short-term strength but medium-term weakness. ROCE (7.07%) and ROE (4.99%) are low, highlighting inefficiency. Valuations remain expensive with a P/E of 66.0 compared to industry average of 30.8, and PEG ratio of 3.17 suggests growth is overpriced.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 630–640 ₹ (near 50DMA support zone).

📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 680–700 ₹ resistance zone, or trail stop-loss below 620 ₹.

Positive

  • ✅ PAT growth from 56.8 Cr. to 69.4 Cr. shows earnings momentum.
  • ✅ EPS of 9.80 ₹ supports valuation base.
  • ✅ Price above 50DMA indicates short-term bullishness.
  • ✅ Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 reflects manageable leverage.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Weak ROCE (7.07%) and ROE (4.99%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • ⚠️ High P/E ratio (66.0 vs industry 30.8) suggests overvaluation.
  • ⚠️ PEG ratio of 3.17 shows growth is overpriced.
  • ⚠️ Decline in institutional holdings (FII -0.13%, DII -0.07%).
  • ⚠️ Price below 200DMA reflects medium-term weakness.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 No major external negative news, but weak fundamentals and valuation risks persist.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Quarterly profit growth of 21.4% reflects earnings improvement.
  • 📈 EPS of 9.80 ₹ provides a stable earnings base.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry P/E at 30.8 is much lower, highlighting VENTIVE’s overvaluation.
  • 🏭 Sector outlook remains steady, but peers offer more attractive valuations.

Conclusion

🔎 VENTIVE is a speculative swing trade candidate with improving profits but weak fundamentals and stretched valuations. Entry near 630–640 ₹ offers limited risk-reward, while exits should be targeted around 680–700 ₹. Traders should remain cautious due to low efficiency metrics and declining institutional confidence, maintaining strict stop-loss discipline.

Would you like me to expand this into a peer benchmarking overlay with sector comparisons, or refine it into an intraday trade setup for sharper entry/exit timing?

Technical Analysis
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