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THERMAX - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:29 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

Stock Code THERMAX Market Cap 56,037 Cr. Current Price 4,696 ₹ High / Low 5,075 ₹
Stock P/E 97.1 Book Value 372 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.30 % ROCE 17.0 %
ROE 13.8 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 4,348 ₹ DMA 200 3,684 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.11 % Chg in DII Hold 0.65 % PAT Qtr 199 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 111 Cr.
RSI 54.3 MACD 107 Volume 4,29,813 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,50,345
Low price 2,743 ₹ High price 5,075 ₹ PEG Ratio 4.64 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 83.8 % Qtr Profit Var -2.89 % EPS 54.5 ₹ Industry PE 36.9

📈 Optimal Entry Price: 4,600–4,650 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)

📉 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 4,950–5,000 ₹ (resistance zone) or cut losses if price falls below 4,550 ₹.

Positive

  • 📊 EPS at 54.5 ₹ supports valuation strength.
  • 📈 PAT improved (111 Cr. → 199 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
  • 💰 Dividend yield of 0.30% provides shareholder returns.
  • 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.03, reflecting strong balance sheet.
  • 📊 RSI at 54.3 indicates balanced momentum, not overbought.
  • 📈 MACD positive at 107, confirming bullish trend.
  • 📊 Strong institutional support with DII holdings up (+0.65%).

Limitation

  • ⚠️ High P/E ratio (97.1) compared to industry PE (36.9), suggesting overvaluation.
  • 📉 ROCE (17.0%) and ROE (13.8%) are moderate relative to valuation.
  • 📊 FII holdings decreased (-1.11%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • 📉 Quarterly profit variation slightly negative (-2.89%).

Company Negative News

  • ❌ Valuation stretched compared to peers.
  • ⚠️ Slight decline in foreign institutional investor holdings.

Company Positive News

  • ✅ PAT growth quarter-on-quarter shows operational improvement.
  • 📈 DII holdings increased, reflecting domestic confidence.
  • 📊 Strong trading volume (4.29 lakh shares vs avg 2.50 lakh) indicates liquidity support.

Industry

  • 🌐 Industry PE at 36.9 is much lower than THERMAX’s PE (97.1), suggesting premium valuation.
  • 📊 Capital goods sector supported by infrastructure and industrial demand.

Conclusion

⚖️ THERMAX is a strong swing trade candidate with bullish technicals and improving earnings, but valuation risks remain high. Entry near 4,600–4,650 ₹ offers favorable risk-reward, with exit near 4,950–5,000 ₹. Stop-loss should be maintained around 4,550 ₹ to manage downside risk.

This analysis frames THERMAX as a premium-valued but technically strong swing candidate. Would you like me to extend this into a capital goods sector overlay comparing peers like ABB India and Siemens to benchmark its swing potential?

Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis

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