⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

TATAPOWER - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:30 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

Stock Code TATAPOWER Market Cap 1,27,255 Cr. Current Price 398 ₹ High / Low 417 ₹
Stock P/E 106 Book Value 59.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.56 % ROCE 14.8 %
ROE 18.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 380 ₹ DMA 200 383 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.19 % Chg in DII Hold 0.86 % PAT Qtr -160 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 431 Cr.
RSI 61.3 MACD 6.98 Volume 88,80,631 Avg Vol 1Wk 95,71,837
Low price 332 ₹ High price 417 ₹ PEG Ratio 6.92 Debt to equity 1.24
52w Index 78.4 % Qtr Profit Var -116 % EPS 3.76 ₹ Industry PE 24.3

Analysis: Tata Power (TATAPOWER) shows weak potential for swing trading at present. The RSI at 61.3 indicates overbought conditions, while the MACD (6.98) reflects mild bullish momentum. The current price (₹398) is slightly above both the 50 DMA (₹380) and 200 DMA (₹383), showing short-term strength but limited upside. Valuation is expensive with a P/E of 106 compared to industry average of 24.3, and PEG ratio of 6.92 suggests overvaluation relative to growth. Quarterly profit turned negative (₹-160 Cr vs. ₹431 Cr), raising concerns. On the positive side, ROE (18.1%) and ROCE (14.8%) are decent, dividend yield is modest (0.56%), and DII holdings increased (+0.86%). However, debt-to-equity is high (1.24), and FII holdings decreased (-0.19%).

Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹380–390, closer to DMA support levels.

Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹410–415 if momentum continues, or cut losses if price falls below ₹380.

✅ Positive

  • ROE (18.1%) and ROCE (14.8%) indicate moderate efficiency.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.86%), reflecting domestic investor confidence.
  • Dividend yield of 0.56% provides modest returns.
  • Price trading above DMA levels shows short-term strength.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E (106) compared to industry average (24.3).
  • PEG ratio of 6.92 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 indicates high leverage.
  • Quarterly profit turned negative (₹-160 Cr vs. ₹431 Cr).

📰 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly losses raise concerns about profitability.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.19%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

🌟 Company Positive News

  • DII participation increased significantly (+0.86%).
  • Dividend yield supports investor interest.
  • ROE and ROCE remain decent despite profit decline.

🏦 Industry

  • Power sector PE (24.3) is far below Tata Power’s PE (106), making the stock highly overvalued.
  • Industry supported by renewable energy push and infrastructure demand, though profitability remains volatile.

📌 Conclusion

Tata Power is a weak candidate for swing trading due to high valuation, quarterly losses, and high debt levels. Entry near ₹380–390 offers limited rebound potential. Exit near ₹410–415 if momentum continues, or below ₹380 to protect capital.

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