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SHREECEM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

Here’s the structured swing trade analysis for SHREECEM based on the provided parameters

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code SHREECEM Market Cap 91,550 Cr. Current Price 25,410 ₹ High / Low 32,508 ₹
Stock P/E 53.7 Book Value 6,239 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.43 % ROCE 10.6 %
ROE 7.80 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 24,742 ₹ DMA 200 26,139 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.13 % Chg in DII Hold 1.20 % PAT Qtr 532 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 279 Cr.
RSI 60.4 MACD -5.48 Volume 26,351 Avg Vol 1Wk 36,625
Low price 22,550 ₹ High price 32,508 ₹ PEG Ratio 6.10 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 28.7 % Qtr Profit Var -4.31 % EPS 473 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📊 Analysis: SHREECEM shows moderate swing trading potential. Current price (25,410 ₹) is above DMA 50 (24,742 ₹) but below DMA 200 (26,139 ₹), reflecting short-term strength but medium-term weakness. RSI at 60.4 indicates positive momentum, though MACD (-5.48) signals caution. Fundamentals are stable with ROE (7.8%) and ROCE (10.6%), supported by EPS (473 ₹). Valuation is expensive with P/E (53.7) vs industry average (30.0). Quarterly PAT (532 Cr.) improved sequentially but overall profit variation (-4.31%) shows pressure.

💰 Optimal Entry: Entry zone lies between 24,800 ₹ – 25,200 ₹, near DMA 50 support.

🔑 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting around 26,000 ₹ – 26,200 ₹, where DMA 200 resistance may cap upside.

✅ Positive

  • EPS of 473 ₹ highlights strong earnings base.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08) ensures financial stability.
  • Price trading above DMA 50 shows short-term strength.
  • Sequential PAT improvement (532 Cr. vs 279 Cr.).

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E ratio (53.7) compared to industry average (30.0).
  • Weak ROE (7.8%) and ROCE (10.6%).
  • MACD (-5.48) indicates bearish undertone despite RSI strength.
  • Quarterly profit variation (-4.31%) shows earnings pressure.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holdings (-1.13%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Overall profit variation remains negative despite sequential improvement.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+1.20%), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • Sequential PAT growth highlights operational recovery.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 30.0 vs SHREECEM’s 53.7 — stock trades at a premium.
  • Cement sector remains cyclical but supported by infrastructure demand.

🔎 Conclusion

⚖️ SHREECEM is a fair swing trade candidate with rating 3.8. Entry near 24,800–25,200 ₹ offers a risk-managed setup, while exits around 26,000–26,200 ₹ are advisable if already holding. Strong fundamentals support the trade, but high valuation and weak momentum indicators warrant caution.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay to benchmark SHREECEM against other cement sector leaders?

Technical Analysis
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