SHREECEM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Swing Trade Analysis for SHREECEM

SHREECEM presents a mixed setup for swing trading. While its fundamentals are solid, technical indicators suggest caution in the short term.

✅ Strengths

Strong Earnings Growth: PAT rose from ₹556 Cr. to ₹619 Cr., a 94.7% jump — a major earnings catalyst.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 adds financial stability.

High EPS: ₹415 EPS supports long-term valuation.

Institutional Interest: FII holdings increased by 0.37%, a mild positive signal.

Price Above 200 DMA: Current price is above the 200 DMA (₹29,218), indicating long-term trend support.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Overvaluation: P/E of 72.1 vs industry average of 47.3 and negative PEG (-3.51) suggest stretched valuation.

Weak Momentum: RSI at 48.6 is neutral, and MACD at -209 signals bearish divergence.

Low ROE/ROCE: ROE at 5.69% and ROCE at 7.17% reflect inefficient capital use.

DII Pullback: Decline of 0.42% in DII holdings may reflect domestic caution.

Price Below 50 DMA: Trading below the 50 DMA (₹30,209) suggests short-term weakness.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹29,200–₹29,400

Near the 200 DMA, offering a lower-risk entry if price stabilizes and MACD improves.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹31,500–₹32,000

A reasonable upside before testing resistance near the recent high.

Stop-Loss: ₹28,800

Below 200 DMA to protect against breakdown.

🧠 Final Thought

SHREECEM is fundamentally strong but technically weak in the short term. It’s suitable for cautious swing trading if momentum improves. Watch for MACD crossover and RSI climbing above 55 for confirmation.

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