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SCI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:30 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

Stock Code SCI Market Cap 10,707 Cr. Current Price 230 ₹ High / Low 280 ₹
Stock P/E 9.87 Book Value 166 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.86 % ROCE 10.1 %
ROE 11.0 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 241 ₹ DMA 200 228 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.64 % Chg in DII Hold -0.17 % PAT Qtr 393 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 176 Cr.
RSI 42.0 MACD -2.63 Volume 22,90,079 Avg Vol 1Wk 34,20,219
Low price 143 ₹ High price 280 ₹ PEG Ratio 11.8 Debt to equity 0.29
52w Index 63.3 % Qtr Profit Var 507 % EPS 23.3 ₹ Industry PE 10.7

📊 SCI trades at ₹230, slightly below its 50DMA (₹241) but near its 200DMA (₹228), showing neutral technical positioning. Indicators (RSI 42.0, MACD -2.63) suggest weak momentum. Fundamentals are mixed: strong quarterly profit growth and decent dividend yield, but valuation concerns with a high PEG ratio. This makes SCI a moderately good swing trade candidate with cautious optimism.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹225–230 (near 200DMA support).

🔔 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near ₹240–245 (around 50DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT surged from ₹176 Cr. to ₹393 Cr. (+507%).
  • EPS of ₹23.3 indicates strong earnings power.
  • Dividend yield of 2.86% provides investor support.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 shows manageable leverage.
  • FII holdings increased by 0.64%, reflecting foreign confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • PEG ratio of 11.8 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
  • ROCE at 10.1% and ROE at 11% are moderate.
  • Stock P/E of 9.87 is slightly below industry PE of 10.7, but growth sustainability is uncertain.
  • DII holdings decreased by 0.17%, showing reduced domestic confidence.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Weak technicals: RSI near oversold, MACD negative.
  • Price trading below 50DMA resistance.
  • Lower trading volume compared to average, showing reduced activity.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Massive quarterly profit growth.
  • Strong dividend yield compared to peers.
  • FII confidence reflected in increased holdings.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 10.7, close to SCI’s valuation.
  • Shipping and logistics sector benefits from global trade recovery.
  • Volatility in freight rates and fuel costs remain challenges.

🔎 Conclusion

SCI is financially stable with strong profit growth and attractive dividend yield, but technically weak and overvalued on growth metrics. It is a moderately good swing trade candidate if entered near ₹225–230 with a target around ₹240–245. Risk management is important due to weak technicals and sector volatility.

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