RPOWER - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.0

📉 Technical Setup

Current Price ₹56.2 is below DMA 50 ₹59.8 but above DMA 200 ₹47.5 → mixed signal; short-term weakness but long-term support holds.

RSI at 36.6: Entering oversold territory — possible bounce but no confirmation.

MACD -1.55: Bearish trend intact.

Volume is strong → trading interest exists, but not necessarily bullish.

📊 Fundamentals Overview

P/E missing: Possibly due to erratic earnings or loss-making history.

EPS ₹7.69, but ROE -1.08% → earnings quality questionable.

ROCE at 6.15%: Suboptimal capital efficiency.

Book Value ₹40.7 vs CMP ₹56.2 → relatively modest premium.

Debt-to-equity 0.93: High leverage; adds financial risk.

Dividend Yield: 0% → no passive income cushion.

Qtr Profit drop from ₹126 Cr to ₹44.7 Cr, despite a Qtr Profit Var of +145% → possibly inconsistent earnings flow.

🧭 Institutional Moves

FII down −0.28%, DII up +0.32% → mild support, but overall institutional sentiment lukewarm.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

₹48–₹50

Entry near 200 DMA and previous swing support.

Ideally, wait for RSI to bounce above 40 and MACD to flatten.

🚪 Exit Plan (If Holding)

Target Range: ₹65–₹68

Prior resistance zone and Fibonacci level.

Stop-Loss: ₹46

Below key support; protects against deeper breakdown.

RPOWER's swing trade case is delicate — technicals show weakness, fundamentals are mixed, and institutions aren’t charging in. It may offer quick upside off support if broader market sentiment turns, but without strong conviction. Want to compare this with other infra or energy names that have cleaner charts and steadier earnings? Let me know — I’ll whip up some contenders ⚡📊.

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