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RPOWER - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.5

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.5

Stock Code RPOWER Market Cap 11,973 Cr. Current Price 29.0 ₹ High / Low 76.5 ₹
Book Value 23.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE -0.18 % ROE -0.99 %
Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 33.7 ₹ DMA 200 41.1 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.16 %
Chg in DII Hold -0.70 % PAT Qtr -0.67 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4.73 Cr. RSI 41.0
MACD -2.01 Volume 29,02,54,188 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,96,08,360 Low price 25.9 ₹
High price 76.5 ₹ Debt to equity 0.62 52w Index 6.01 % Qtr Profit Var -309 %
EPS -0.24 ₹ Industry PE 26.2

📊 Reliance Power (RPOWER) shows very weak fundamentals with negative ROCE (-0.18%) and ROE (-0.99%), consistent losses (PAT -0.67 Cr.), and no dividend yield. The stock is trading well below both 50 DMA (33.7 ₹) and 200 DMA (41.1 ₹), with RSI at 41.0 indicating oversold conditions and MACD at -2.01 showing bearish momentum. Despite strong trading volumes, the company’s financial weakness and poor sentiment make it a risky candidate for swing trading.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 27 ₹ – 29 ₹ (near support zone).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 33 ₹ – 35 ₹ (resistance at 50 DMA) or place a stop-loss below 26 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • Strong trading volume (29 crore vs. 8.9 crore average) indicates active investor interest.
  • Book value of 23.6 ₹ is close to current price, offering some asset backing.
  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.16%), showing marginal foreign investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Negative ROCE (-0.18%) and ROE (-0.99%) reflect poor capital efficiency.
  • Consistent losses with negative EPS (-0.24 ₹).
  • Stock trading far below DMA levels indicates strong bearish trend.
  • No dividend yield, limiting investor returns outside capital gains.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped from 4.73 Cr. to -0.67 Cr., showing continued losses.
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.70%), reflecting reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Stock trading at only 6.01% of its 52-week range, showing extreme weakness.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Oversold RSI (41.0) may trigger short-term technical rebound.
  • Marginal increase in FII holdings provides slight support.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 26.2 vs. RPOWER’s negative earnings highlights severe underperformance.
  • Power sector benefits from long-term demand, but company-specific fundamentals remain weak.

🔎 Conclusion

Reliance Power is fundamentally weak with consistent losses and poor efficiency, though strong volumes and oversold RSI may offer short-term speculative opportunities. Swing traders may enter near 27 ₹ – 29 ₹ with a target around 33 ₹ – 35 ₹. Stop-loss below 26 ₹ is recommended. The stock offers limited swing trade potential with a rating of 2.5.

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