RPOWER - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

📉 Swing Trade Analysis: Reliance Power Ltd (RPOWER)

RPOWER currently shows weak fundamentals and neutral technical momentum, making it a high-risk swing trade. While the stock has shown signs of recovery in profitability and is trading near long-term support, its negative earnings and poor capital efficiency suggest caution.

✅ Positives

Profit Turnaround

PAT Qtr: ₹1.90 Cr. vs ₹-101 Cr. → Positive shift in earnings.

Qtr Profit Var: +16.6% → Mild growth.

Technical Support Zone

Current price ₹47.4 is near DMA200 (₹47.2) → Potential support.

RSI: 49.1 → Neutral zone, with room to rise.

Institutional Sentiment

DII Holding ↑ 0.32% → Mild domestic accumulation.

Volume Strength

Volume remains high (1.75 Cr.), indicating liquidity for swing trades.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Fundamental Weakness

ROCE: -0.18% and ROE: -0.99% → Negative capital efficiency.

EPS: ₹-0.23 → Negative earnings.

No P/E or PEG Ratio available → Earnings visibility unclear.

Technical Momentum

MACD: -0.67 → Bearish crossover.

Price below DMA50 (₹49.8) → Short-term downtrend.

Volume Drop

Current volume < 1-week average → Waning interest.

Dividend Yield: 0.00% → No passive income.

FII Holding ↓ 0.28% → Mild foreign investor pullback.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹44–₹46

Slightly below current price, near DMA200 and support zone. Entry should be timed with MACD reversal or RSI uptick.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹52–₹55

Near short-term resistance and swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹42

Below recent support to manage downside risk.

This setup suits contrarian swing traders who can monitor for a technical reversal and act quickly. Let me know if you'd like help tracking MACD or RSI signals for timing your entry.

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