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PGHH - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 04:22 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code PGHH Market Cap 33,124 Cr. Current Price 10,205 ₹ High / Low 14,543 ₹
Stock P/E 38.5 Book Value 287 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.67 % ROCE 104 %
ROE 75.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 10,479 ₹ DMA 200 12,084 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.09 % Chg in DII Hold -0.07 % PAT Qtr 301 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 210 Cr.
RSI 50.9 MACD 8.91 Volume 5,770 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,185
Low price 8,979 ₹ High price 14,543 ₹ PEG Ratio -45.9 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 22.0 % Qtr Profit Var 12.2 % EPS 265 ₹ Industry PE 43.4

Analysis: PGHH is trading at ₹10,205, slightly below DMA 50 (₹10,479) and well below DMA 200 (₹12,084), indicating a weak medium-term trend despite short-term stability. RSI at 50.9 shows neutral momentum, while MACD is positive, suggesting mild bullishness. Fundamentals are strong with exceptional ROCE (104%) and ROE (75.7%), supported by zero debt. However, the P/E of 38.5 is slightly below industry average (43.4), but PEG ratio is negative (-45.9), signaling poor growth prospects. Quarterly PAT improved from ₹210 Cr to ₹301 Cr (+12.2%), but overall 52-week performance is weak (22%).

Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹10,000–10,100 (near current support levels).

Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near ₹10,800–11,000 or earlier if RSI rises above 65.

✅ Positive

  • Exceptional ROCE (104%) and ROE (75.7%).
  • Zero debt-to-equity ratio ensures financial stability.
  • EPS of ₹265 supports strong earnings base.
  • Dividend yield of 1.67% provides steady income.
  • Sequential PAT growth from ₹210 Cr to ₹301 Cr.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Negative PEG ratio (-45.9) indicates weak growth prospects.
  • Stock trading below DMA 200, showing medium-term weakness.
  • FII holdings decreased by 0.09% and DII holdings by 0.07%.
  • 52-week index at 22% reflects underperformance.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Weak 52-week performance compared to peers.
  • Decline in institutional holdings (FII & DII).

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth (+12.2%).
  • High efficiency metrics (ROCE & ROE).
  • Debt-free balance sheet provides resilience.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 43.4, slightly higher than PGHH’s valuation.
  • Consumer goods sector benefits from stable demand but faces margin pressures.

🔎 Conclusion

PGHH is fundamentally strong with high efficiency and zero debt, but growth prospects are weak and the stock has underperformed over the past year. It is a moderate candidate for swing trading with entry near ₹10,000–10,100 and profit booking around ₹10,800–11,000. Caution is advised due to negative PEG ratio and weak medium-term trend.

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