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PGHH - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.3

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

Stock Code PGHH Market Cap 29,219 Cr. Current Price 9,005 ₹ High / Low 14,540 ₹
Stock P/E 34.1 Book Value 232 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.89 % ROCE 157 %
ROE 115 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 9,696 ₹ DMA 200 11,372 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.09 % Chg in DII Hold -0.07 % PAT Qtr 153 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 301 Cr.
RSI 34.1 MACD -228 Volume 6,48,135 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,43,800
Low price 8,884 ₹ High price 14,540 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.42 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 2.15 % Qtr Profit Var -1.90 % EPS 264 ₹ Industry PE 41.0

📊 PGHH shows exceptional efficiency metrics with ROCE (157%) and ROE (115%), supported by a debt-free balance sheet. However, technical indicators are weak: RSI at 34.1 suggests oversold conditions, and MACD (-228) signals bearish momentum. Quarterly PAT declined (153 Cr vs 301 Cr, -1.9%), raising earnings concerns. The stock trades below both 50 DMA (9,696 ₹) and 200 DMA (11,372 ₹), reinforcing bearish sentiment. Valuation is moderate with P/E (34.1 vs industry 41.0), but momentum remains negative.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 8,900–9,000 ₹ (near recent support).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 9,700–9,800 ₹ (50 DMA resistance) or trail stop-loss at 8,800 ₹ to protect downside.

🌟 Positive

  • 📈 Exceptional ROCE (157%) and ROE (115%), showing outstanding efficiency.
  • 💰 Healthy dividend yield (1.89%).
  • 📊 Debt-free balance sheet ensures financial stability.
  • 📉 EPS of 264 ₹ supports valuation strength.

⚠️ Limitation

  • 📌 PAT decline (301 Cr → 153 Cr, -1.9%).
  • 📌 RSI (34.1) indicates oversold territory with weak momentum.
  • 📌 Negative MACD (-228) signals bearish trend.
  • 📌 Slight decline in FII (-0.09%) and DII (-0.07%) holdings.

📰 Company Negative News

  • No major negative news reported, but profit decline is a concern.

📰 Company Positive News

  • Strong efficiency metrics with industry-leading ROCE and ROE.
  • Debt-free balance sheet supports long-term stability.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 41.0, slightly higher than PGHH’s 34.1, suggesting fair valuation.
  • FMCG sector supported by steady demand, though competition remains strong.

✅ Conclusion

PGHH is fundamentally strong with exceptional efficiency and zero debt, but weak short-term momentum and declining profits limit its swing trade appeal. Entry near 8,900–9,000 ₹ offers tactical positioning, while exit near 9,700–9,800 ₹ is prudent if momentum improves. Caution is advised due to bearish technical signals.

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