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PATANJALI - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 02:09 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code PATANJALI Market Cap 54,933 Cr. Current Price 506 ₹ High / Low 671 ₹
Stock P/E 38.5 Book Value 111 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.66 % ROCE 15.6 %
ROE 12.1 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 538 ₹ DMA 200 569 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.42 % Chg in DII Hold 1.19 % PAT Qtr 517 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 180 Cr.
RSI 38.1 MACD -14.2 Volume 20,76,960 Avg Vol 1Wk 32,48,197
Low price 480 ₹ High price 671 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.22 Debt to equity 0.24
52w Index 13.4 % Qtr Profit Var 67.2 % EPS 13.1 ₹ Industry PE 23.2

📊 PATANJALI shows moderate fundamentals with weak technicals, making it a cautious candidate for swing trading. The stock is currently at ₹506, trading below both its 50 DMA (₹538) and 200 DMA (₹569), reflecting bearish sentiment. RSI at 38.1 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -14.2 confirms downward momentum. Despite this, strong quarterly PAT growth and decent ROCE/ROE provide support. Optimal entry would be in the ₹490–₹500 range. If already holding, exit near ₹560–₹570, where resistance from the 200 DMA is expected.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT surged from ₹180 Cr. to ₹517 Cr. (+67.2%).
  • ROCE (15.6%) and ROE (12.1%) show healthy capital efficiency.
  • EPS of ₹13.1 supports valuation strength.
  • DII holdings increased (+1.19%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.24 indicates manageable leverage.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E of 38.5 compared to industry PE of 23.2 suggests overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 2.22 indicates expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield of 0.66% offers limited income return.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows technical weakness.
  • Volume below weekly average indicates reduced participation.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-1.42%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • MACD negative (-14.2), confirming bearish momentum.
  • 52-week index at 13.4% highlights underperformance relative to peers.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth indicates operational improvement.
  • DII inflows (+1.19%) reflect confidence from domestic institutions.
  • EPS growth supports valuation despite high P/E.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 23.2 is lower than PATANJALI’s 38.5, suggesting overvaluation.
  • FMCG sector remains competitive but supported by rising consumer demand.

🔎 Conclusion

PATANJALI is a moderate swing candidate with improving earnings but weak technicals and valuation concerns. Entry near ₹490–₹500 offers margin of safety. Exit around ₹560–₹570 is advisable if already holding, as resistance is expected near the 200 DMA. Risk management is essential due to bearish momentum and overvaluation relative to industry peers.

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